San Francisco @ New York picks

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Rafael Devers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kodai Senga today.. Rafael Devers has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the league's 4th-shallowest LF fences today.. The New York Mets infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst among every team today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willy Adames in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Willy Adames is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Willy Adames pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Willy Adames has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 99.9-mph average over the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 94.9-mph.. Over the past 14 days, Willy Adames's 52.8% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 43.6%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Heliot Ramos hits many of his flyballs to center field (39% — 88th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Heliot Ramos's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 41.9% to 47.1%.. With a .324 BABIP this year, Heliot Ramos is ranked in the 82nd percentile.

Pete Alonso projects as the 13th-best home run hitter in the game, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Pete Alonso is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this game.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Pete Alonso will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Pete Alonso has made big improvements with his Barrel%, upping his 13.2% rate last year to 19.4% this season.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Juan Soto ranks as the 4th-best batter in Major League Baseball.. Juan Soto is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Juan Soto will have the handedness advantage over Kai-Wei Teng in today's matchup.. Juan Soto will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

When assessing his home run talent, Francisco Alvarez ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats across the board, and Francisco Alvarez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Francisco Alvarez has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.4-mph average to last year's 88.7-mph average.. In the last two weeks, Francisco Alvarez's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 95.3-mph over the course of the season to 98.7-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the league's 17th-best home run batter.. Matt Chapman is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Matt Chapman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 96th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the game's shallowest CF fences in today's game.. Matt Chapman has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 11.1% seasonal rate to 20% over the last two weeks.. Matt Chapman has seen a substantial gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 97.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 94.8-mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Francisco Lindor in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Francisco Lindor is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Francisco Lindor will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Francisco Lindor's true offensive ability to be a .342, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .022 disparity between that figure and his actual .320 wOBA.

Citi Field has the shallowest centerfield dimensions among all major league stadiums.. Cedric Mullins will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Kai-Wei Teng today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage in today's game.. Compared to his seasonal average of 23.8°, Cedric Mullins has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 28.5° mark in the last two weeks' worth of games.. Cedric Mullins's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls this season (15.7°) is significantly higher than his 12.5° mark last year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Nimmo in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Brandon Nimmo is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Hitting from the opposite that Kai-Wei Teng throws from, Brandon Nimmo will have an advantage in today's matchup.. Brandon Nimmo has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the game's 4th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Brandon Nimmo will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.