Houston @ Boston picks

Since returning from the All-Star break, Duran paces all Red Sox batters in runs scored (10) and RBI (10), while his 14 hits trail only Anthony (15) for the team lead. Duran has also eclipsed 1.5 hits, runs, and RBI in six of his last nine games. According to THE BAT X projections, Duran ranks in the 97th percentile in opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%). That bodes well for the left-handed hitter at Fenway, where he could benefit from an extra-base hit or two thanks to the Green Monster.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran as the 19th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.4%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jarren Duran will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his home run talent, Christian Walker ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christian Walker is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Christian Walker pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.4% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Christian Walker has been unlucky this year, putting up a .298 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .326 — a .028 deviation.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill.. Roman Anthony is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Roman Anthony has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams today, the 3rd-worst infield defense is that of the Houston Astros.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Among all major league stadiums, Fenway Park's left field fences are the shallowest.. Carlos Correa has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91-mph to 95.2-mph over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Jesus Sanchez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Victor Caratini hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 90th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the league's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.. Victor Caratini has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 103.3-mph average over the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 93.1-mph.. Victor Caratini's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (14°) is a considerable increase over his 7.5° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 84th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Trevor Story is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Trevor Story will have the handedness advantage against Colton Gordon in today's matchup.. Trevor Story has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. The shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.. Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage against Walker Buehler in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Jesus Sanchez will hold the platoon advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup.. Jesus Sanchez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Romy Gonzalez is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Fenway Park as the 4th-best ballpark in baseball for run-scoring.. Romy Gonzalez will have the handedness advantage against Colton Gordon in today's game.. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.