Los Angeles @ Tampa Bay picks
George M. Steinbrenner Field
LAD vs TB Picks
MLB Picks
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Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Rays starter Shane Baz has struggled at home, allowing at least one home run in his last five home starts and 19 total earned runs. The Dodgers scored only 17 runs across their last five road games, but they have an opportunity to break out of their team slump inside the George M. Steinbrenner bandbox, as they’ve launched 116 bombs with a .335 wOBA against righties.
Total RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Christopher Morel is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field grades out as the #4 park in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
George M. Steinbrenner Field grades out as the #4 park in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level on the schedule today at 86°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Shane Baz throws from, Michael Conforto will have an edge in today's matchup.. Michael Conforto has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10.4% seasonal rate to 25% in the past week.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability.. Freddie Freeman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field grades out as the #4 park in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+115)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field grades out as the #4 park in MLB for LHB home runs, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Junior Caminero is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 4th-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed home runs.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the 2nd-shortest fence height (on average) among all major league stadiums.. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the schedule today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).