Pittsburgh @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
PIT vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This is a slump-busting matchup for Devers. He’s saddling an 0-for-11 drought at the dish across his past three games and draws Bucs rookie Mike Burrows this afternoon. Burrows has served up a healthy 43.3% hard-hit rate and 10.2 barrel percentage in the majors, and Devers sports a high-end .379 wOBA and .254 ISO against righties over the past three years.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive ability, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Heliot Ramos ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Heliot Ramos is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as the league's 6th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Total Bases

Matt Chapman o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Chapman projects as the 17th-best home run hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jack Suwinski o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-149)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jack Suwinski in the 93rd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Jack Suwinski will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Logan Webb in today's matchup.. Jack Suwinski pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.2% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Patrick Bailey o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will get to bat from his better side against Michael Burrows in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Brett Wisely o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 park in baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. In the majors, Oracle Park's right field fences are the 2nd-shallowest.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. Brett Wisely will have the handedness advantage against Michael Burrows in today's game.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Brett Wisely will hold that advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-161)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oracle Park ranks as the #3 park in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this match-up, the strongest of the day for hitters.. In terms of his batting average, Henry Davis has had bad variance on his side this year. His .173 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.