Los Angeles @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
LAD vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Outs Recorded


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
Martinez has retired 16 or fewer batters in each of his past four starts, and he draws a tough Los Angeles lineup at hitter-friendly Great American Ball Park tonight. The Dodgers rank third in wOBA and have the highest walk rate in baseball against righties, and Martinez pitches to contact. His 6.4 K/9 and 17.2 K% respectively rank 56th and 53rd among the 62 qualified starters this season, after all.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Shohei Ohtani.
Total RBIs

Tyler Stephenson o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Tyler Stephenson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Among all the teams in action today, the weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Total RBIs

Will Benson o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Will Benson ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. In MLB, Great American Ball Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Will Benson will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Noelvi Marte o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Teoscar Hernandez has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Mookie Betts ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Mookie Betts is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Mookie Betts pulls many of his flyballs (33.7% — 80th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (-120)
Projection 1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. Dingers are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Great American Ball Park has the 7th-shallowest in the league.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Freddie Freeman's batting average skill is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 2nd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Freddie Freeman will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez in today's game.
Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 4th-best venue in the game for run-scoring.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Shohei Ohtani.