Los Angeles @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 88th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. In MLB, Great American Ball Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Shohei Ohtani in today's game. Shohei Ohtani has had some very good luck with with his wOBA this year; his .409 figure is quite a bit higher than his .374 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Andy Pages is penciled in 6th in the batting order in this game. Nick Martinez will have the handedness advantage over Andy Pages in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Andy Pages in today's game. Andy Pages's launch angle this season (16.6°) is considerably lower than his 20.6° angle last season. As it relates to plate discipline, Andy Pages's talent is quite poor, putting up a 4.49 K/BB rate this year while ranking in in the 12th percentile.

Freddie Freeman will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. Over the last two weeks, Freddie Freeman's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen from his seasonal mark of 93.6 mph to 87.4 mph. Freddie Freeman's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 20% to 15.5%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.319) provides evidence that Freddie Freeman has experienced some positive variance this year with his .356 actual wOBA.

Nick Martinez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mookie Betts in today's game. Mookie Betts will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's game. Mookie Betts has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.2% seasonal rate has decreased to 0% in the last two weeks' worth of games. Mookie Betts's launch angle this season (18.3°) is considerably worse than his 21.4° angle last season. Mookie Betts's launch angle in recent games (-6.5° over the past 7 days) is significantly worse than his 18.3° seasonal angle.

Jake Fraley is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 96% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jake Fraley will hold the platoon advantage over Shohei Ohtani in today's matchup. Jake Fraley pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35.3% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in the game when estimating his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Elly De La Cruz will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Shohei Ohtani.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. In MLB, Great American Ball Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Compared to his seasonal average of 11.7°, Tommy Edman has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 21° figure over the last 14 days. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.272) implies that Tommy Edman has had some very poor luck this year with his .226 actual batting average.

Noelvi Marte's batting average talent is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Noelvi Marte has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Batting from the same side that Nick Martinez throws from, Teoscar Hernandez meets a tough challenge in today's game. Playing on the road generally weakens batter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Teoscar Hernandez today. Teoscar Hernandez's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this year; his 96.3-mph average last season has fallen to 93.4-mph. Teoscar Hernandez's launch angle in recent games (3.1° in the last two weeks' worth of games) is considerably worse than his 9.4° seasonal angle. With a 4.69 K/BB rate this year, Teoscar Hernandez has displayed bad plate discipline, ranking in the 10th percentile.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Great American Ball Park has the 6th-shallowest left field dimensions in the league. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Miguel Rojas has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 89.4-mph average to last season's 86.6-mph figure. Posting a 1.56 K/BB rate this year, Miguel Rojas has shown good plate discipline, ranking in the 88th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. In MLB, Great American Ball Park's right field fences are the 8th-shallowest. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Shohei Ohtani throws from, Will Benson will have an edge today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Matt McLain has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Santiago Espinal has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Santiago Espinal will hold that advantage today.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Michael Conforto will have the handedness advantage over Nick Martinez today. Michael Conforto has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences today. Michael Conforto has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 10% seasonal rate to 20% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Tyler Stephenson has an 82nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Great American Ball Park as the 9th-best venue in Major League Baseball for lefty batting average. The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The switch-hitting Alexander Freeland will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Nick Martinez. Alexander Freeland pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.8% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

Great American Ball Park ranks as the #9 stadium in the majors for right-handed batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 3rd-highest level of all games on the slate today at 91°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Among all the teams in action today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense belongs to the Los Angeles Dodgers. Spencer Steer is an extreme flyball batter and faces the weak outfield defense of Los Angeles (#2-worst of all teams today).