Arizona @ Detroit picks
Comerica Park
AZ vs DET Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Neil Parker
Betting Analyst
This is a bounce-back spot for Mize. He’s been squared up for 11 runs – 10 earned – across just seven innings through two starts following the All-Star break despite a respectable 3.51 xFIP and nine strikeouts. The Diamondbacks are reeling in July with a below average .311 wOBA and middling 22.3 K%, and trade rumors are swirling in the Arizona clubhouse.
Total RBIs

Spencer Torkelson o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Spencer Torkelson in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Spencer Torkelson is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Spencer Torkelson will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Kerry Carpenter o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kerry Carpenter in the 94th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kerry Carpenter is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Kerry Carpenter will have the upper hand today.
Total RBIs

Wenceel Perez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. The switch-hitting Wenceel Perez will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Brandon Pfaadt.. Wenceel Perez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Riley Greene o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Gleyber Torres o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Gleyber Torres's batting average skill is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Gleyber Torres is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Gleyber Torres will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Riley Greene o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game.
Total Bases

Ketel Marte o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ketel Marte projects as the 10th-best batter in the majors, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Total Bases

Adrian Del Castillo o0.5 Total Bases (-180)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Adrian Del Castillo has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (50% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Adrian Del Castillo will have the handedness advantage against Casey Mize in today's matchup.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-worst infield defense belongs to the Detroit Tigers.
Outs Recorded

Brandon Pfaadt u17.5 Outs Recorded (-110)
Projection 16.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Brandon Pfaadt in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Riley Greene o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his BABIP talent, Riley Greene is projected as the 6th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Riley Greene is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. In MLB, Comerica Park has the 2nd-lowest average fence height.. Comerica Park sits at the 9th-highest elevation among all stadiums. High elevation tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Riley Greene will have an advantage in today's game.