Boston @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
BOS vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Batting from the opposite that Richard Fitts throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's matchup.. Matt Wallner will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Matt Wallner's launch angle recently (33.9° over the past 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 22.1° seasonal angle.
Total RBIs

Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.
Total RBIs

Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his home run talent, Trevor Story ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trevor Story is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Trevor Story has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.1-mph to 95.1-mph over the last 7 days.
Total RBIs

Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. Willi Castro is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the dish, Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side against Richard Fitts in this game.. Willi Castro will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Ceddanne Rafaela o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Built 840 feet above sea level, Target Field has the 5th-highest altitude among all stadiums, which tends to lead to higher offensive output.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (25.7) may lead us to conclude that Ceddanne Rafaela has had some very poor luck this year with his 22.3 actual HR/600.
Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 96th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Wilyer Abreu will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Simeon Woods Richard in today's game.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Wilyer Abreu's launch angle this season (23.8°) is quite a bit better than his 19° figure last season.
Total RBIs

Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Trevor Larnach will have the handedness advantage over Richard Fitts in today's game.. Trevor Larnach will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Carlos Narvaez has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 93.9-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal 91.3-mph figure.. Sporting a .331 BABIP this year, Carlos Narvaez finds himself in the 88th percentile.
Total RBIs

Carlos Correa o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Carlos Correa's batting average ability is projected to be in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Carlos Correa is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Carlos Correa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Carlos Correa has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 96.3-mph over the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

Alex Bregman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Alex Bregman ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Alex Bregman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. The #6 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins.. Alex Bregman has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 95.5-mph average to last season's 90.9-mph average.