Pittsburgh @ San Francisco picks
Oracle Park
PIT vs SF Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
By any definable metric, the Pirates are the worst offense in the league and have struggled against the changeup. Giants rookie Carson Whisenhunt boasts an elite changeup that has created an eye-popping 49% whiff rate in the minors this season. I would play this Under to -128.
Total RBIs

Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

Matt Chapman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Chapman as the game's 17th-best home run hitter.. Matt Chapman is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Matt Chapman will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Bryan Reynolds o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Bryan Reynolds has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 98.2-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal average of 95-mph.
Total RBIs

Willy Adames o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Willy Adames ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willy Adames is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Willy Adames will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Rafael Devers o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Rafael Devers ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Rafael Devers is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Total RBIs

Heliot Ramos o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Heliot Ramos is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Heliot Ramos has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.9%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 2nd-shallowest RF fences today.
Total RBIs

Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 81st percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Justin Verlander will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Andrew McCutchen today.
Outs Recorded

Mitch Keller u17.5 Outs Recorded (+120)
Projection 16.5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Despite technically being the "starter" in today's game, Mitch Keller may not pitch more than a couple framess consider he will be treated as more of an opener.. The San Francisco Giants have been the 7th-unluckiest offense in MLB this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to positively regress in the future. Manny Gonzalez projects as a Hitters Umpire and is scheduled to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Henry Davis o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-169)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 stadium in the majors for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oracle Park.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.. Hitting from the same side that Justin Verlander throws from, Henry Davis meets a tough challenge in today's game.. Among all the teams playing today, the 7th-worst outfield defense belongs to the San Francisco Giants.. Over the past week, Henry Davis's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.3% up to 16.7%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Oneil Cruz o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. Oracle Park grades out as the #3 field in baseball for left-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Oracle Park has the 2nd-shallowest RF dimensions in MLB.. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this game, the most-favorable of the day for batters.