Miami @ Milwaukee picks
American Family Field
MIA vs MIL Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Brandon Woodruff u5.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+115)
Projection 5.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Brandon Woodruff is projected to throw 82 pitches in this game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 10th-least of the day.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Considering that flyball hitters have a notable edge over groundball pitchers, Brandon Woodruff and his 37.9% underlying GB% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be in a hard position in today's outing being matched up with 4 opposing GB batters.. Brandon Woodruff's high utilization percentage of his fastball (60.1% since the start of last season) is likely hurting his results, since they are typically much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Woodruff in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Agustin Ramirez o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run ability, Agustin Ramirez ranks in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Agustin Ramirez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is projected to have the 5th-hottest weather on the slate today at 88°.
Total RBIs

Andrew Vaughn o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Vaughn in the 86th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Andrew Vaughn is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Vaughn will hold that advantage in today's game.
Total RBIs

Christian Yelich o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Yelich as the 16th-best hitter in Major League Baseball when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Christian Yelich is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Batting from the opposite that Eury Perez throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

William Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. William Contreras is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Graham Pauley o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Graham Pauley will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Woodruff today.. When it comes to his batting average, Graham Pauley has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .189 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .214.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this game.. American Family Field has the 7th-shallowest centerfield dimensions in MLB.. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over Brandon Woodruff in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dane Myers o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Dane Myers's BABIP talent is projected in the 93rd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at American Family Field is the 5th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. American Family Field sits at the 8th-highest altitude in the majors. High elevation often leads to better offense.. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.. Batters such as Dane Myers with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Woodruff who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum.