Los Angeles @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
LAD vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Trevor Knapp
Publishing Editor
Get ready for plenty of offense at Fenway. Dustin May and Walker Buehler both enter Sunday’s matinee with ERAs north of 4.70, and the Dodgers and Red Sox also rank in the Top 5 in both OPS and runs per game.
Total RBIs

Dalton Rushing o0.5 Total RBIs (+235)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dalton Rushing in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks.. Dalton Rushing will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.. Dalton Rushing has been unlucky this year, compiling a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .050 gap.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent.. Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez has paced 24.0 Expected Home Runs per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 75th percentile for power according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs

Jarren Duran o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. Jarren Duran is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Jarren Duran will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Shohei Ohtani will have the upper hand in today's game.
Total RBIs

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average skill, Freddie Freeman is projected as the 19th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Freddie Freeman will have an edge in today's matchup.. Freddie Freeman has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences today.
Total RBIs

Tommy Edman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks.. Tommy Edman's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last season to this one, increasing from 36.9% to 48.3%.
Total Bases

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total Bases (-161)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 96th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Considering Dustin May's huge platoon split, Wilyer Abreu will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Wilyer Abreu pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of every team in action today.
Total Bases

Abraham Toro o0.5 Total Bases (-169)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks.. The Los Angeles Dodgers outfield defense profiles as the worst out of every team in action today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Abraham Toro will hold that advantage today.. Abraham Toro has notched a .262 batting average this year, checking in at the 75th percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Dalton Rushing o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dalton Rushing in the 76th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The #2 venue in the majors for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Fenway Park has the 3rd-shallowest RF dimensions among all major league parks.. Dalton Rushing will hold the platoon advantage against Walker Buehler in today's game.. Dalton Rushing has been unlucky this year, compiling a .259 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .309 — a .050 gap.