Colorado @ Baltimore Picks & Props

The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among every team on the slate today. Mickey Moniak will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak's true offensive talent to be a .316, implying that he has experienced some positive variance this year given the .054 deviation between that mark and his actual .370 wOBA. Mickey Moniak has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 18th percentile with a 3.99 K/BB rate.

Ramon Laureano pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Ramon Laureano's true offensive skill to be a .321, providing some evidence that he has been very fortunate this year given the .038 deviation between that figure and his actual .359 wOBA. Hitting the ball to all fields is a key talent for batting average that Ramon Laureano has struggled with this year, as evidenced by his ranking in the 11th percentile on THE BAT X's Spray Score.

In today's game, Tyler O'Neill is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 35.6% rate (91st percentile). Tyler O'Neill's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped off this season; his 97.9-mph EV last season has fallen off to 95.2-mph.

In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's left field dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. From last season to this one, Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 48.4% to 40.7%. Jordan Westburg has been unlucky this year, putting up a .333 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .340 — a .007 discrepancy. Jordan Westburg has shown poor plate discipline this year, checking in at the 15th percentile with a 4.24 K/BB rate.

In the majors, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's left field dimensions are the 3rd-deepest. Batting from the same side that Tomoyuki Sugano throws from, Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage in today's matchup. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among every team on the slate today. Ezequiel Tovar will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. This season, there has been a decline in Ezequiel Tovar's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 28.1 ft/sec last year to 27.44 ft/sec currently.

Tomoyuki Sugano will hold the platoon advantage over Tyler Freeman today. The Baltimore Orioles infield defense projects as the 5th-strongest among every team on the slate today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Tyler Freeman in today's matchup. Tyler Freeman's launch angle this year (8.6°) is significantly lower than his 12.9° angle last year. Despite posting a .355 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Freeman has experienced some positive variance given the .027 gap between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Gunnar Henderson will have a tough challenge today. Gunnar Henderson's exit velocity on flyballs has declined this year; his 94.7-mph average last season has dropped off to 91.3-mph. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last season to this one, going from 14.1% to 9.8%. Gunnar Henderson's speed has dropped off this year. His 28.86 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 28.34 ft/sec now. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Gunnar Henderson's true offensive talent to be a .361, implying that he has experienced some negative variance this year given the .019 gap between that figure and his actual .342 wOBA.

Hunter Goodman is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Hunter Goodman hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 92nd percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Hunter Goodman has seen a substantial improvement in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 90.8-mph average to last year's 88.2-mph EV.

Hitting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Jackson Holliday has a tough challenge in today's game. Jackson Holliday has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) but may find it hard to clear MLB's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Jackson Holliday's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 16.4% to 13.2%. This year, there has been a decline in Jackson Holliday's footspeed with his Statcast Sprint Speed dropping from 29.36 ft/sec last year to 28.6 ft/sec currently. Jackson Holliday has been lucky this year, posting a .320 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .319 — a .001 difference.

Jordan Beck's BABIP ability is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. This season, Jordan Beck has experienced a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 93 mph compared to last year's 90.2 mph mark.

Thairo Estrada is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Dylan Carlson will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Austin Gomber today. Dylan Carlson will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats. This season, Dylan Carlson has experienced a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 92 mph compared to last year's 88.3 mph mark.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Michael Toglia's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 43.1% to 49.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 90th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Colton Cowser has a good chance to have the upper hand against every reliever for the game's entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP. Colton Cowser will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). The shallowest right field dimensions in the league are found in Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Yanquiel Fernandez will hold the platoon advantage against Tomoyuki Sugano in today's matchup. Yanquiel Fernandez is apt to have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Baltimore Orioles has just 1 same-handed RP.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Alex Jackson will hold the platoon advantage against Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Alex Jackson will hold that advantage today. Alex Jackson's footspeed has gotten better this season. His 26.77 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 27.6 ft/sec now.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards projects as the #10 ballpark in Major League Baseball for left-handed BABIP, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Cedric Mullins may have the upper hand against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (37.5% — 95th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Cedric Mullins will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Austin Nola hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Ramon Urias will have an edge in today's matchup. Ramon Urias will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Orlando Arcia has been unlucky this year, posting a .204 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .273 — a .069 difference.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Coby Mayo will have the handedness advantage against Austin Gomber in today's game. Coby Mayo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Coby Mayo will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

The #10 ballpark in the game for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report forecasts the 3rd-hottest weather on the slate today at 91°. Jacob Stallings will hold the platoon advantage over Austin Gomber in today's matchup. Jacob Stallings has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Jacob Stallings will hold that advantage in today's game.