Philadelphia @ New York picks

We will continue to fade the Yankees until further notice. This team is slowly spiraling out of control, and with the Phillies' offense seeing the ball well, in addition to their pitching advantage, I believe this price is a steal. 

Kyle Schwarber has four home runs in his last three games, going deep in back-to-back contests before Friday’s two-homer explosion. He’s red-hot, smacking 11 bombs in July alone. The Phils will face Marcus Stroman today, who has an ERA over five and has allowed five homers in just seven starts. 

Kyle Schwarber should have the upper hand against Yankees starter Marcus Stroman, who has struggled mightily this season with a bloated 5.64 ERA and a 1.48 WHIP. Left-handed batters are faring very well against Stroman with a .289 average, .539 slugging percentage, and a .300 BABIP – just another reason to back Schwarber this afternoon.

When assessing his home run talent, Trent Grisham ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Trent Grisham is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Trent Grisham pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Trent Grisham will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. The New York Yankees outfield defense profiles as the 5th-worst among every team on the slate today.. Ranking in the 87th percentile, Edmundo Sosa has posted a .321 BABIP since the start of last season.

When it comes to his home run skill, Jazz Chisholm Jr. ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Jazz Chisholm Jr. pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (35% — 89th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Compared to his seasonal average of 9.8°, Otto Kemp has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 20° figure in the past week.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.334) may lead us to conclude that Otto Kemp has been unlucky this year with his .302 actual wOBA.. Ranking in the 93rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 29.21 ft/sec this year, Otto Kemp is quite toolsy.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Ryan McMahon has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 8th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Ranger Suarez will have the handedness advantage against Ryan McMahon today.. Ryan McMahon has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and will be challenged by baseball's 9th-deepest LF fences in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in the majors.. Aaron Judge is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Batting from the opposite that Ranger Suarez throws from, Aaron Judge will have the upper hand in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Aaron Judge usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Ranger Suarez.

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run batter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today.. In Major League Baseball, Yankee Stadium has the 7th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Marcus Stroman throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage today.. Kyle Schwarber is apt to have an advantage against every reliever for the whole game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.

The #2 park in baseball for suppressing BABIP to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Yankee Stadium.. Built just 11 feet above sea level, Yankee Stadium has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. Batting from the same side that Ranger Suarez throws from, Trent Grisham encounters a tough challenge today.. Out of every team on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.. Trent Grisham's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has dropped off in recent games, falling from 40.6% on the season to 29.4% over the past 7 days.