Los Angeles @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
LAD vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Earned Runs Allowed


Rohit Ponnaiya
Betting Analyst
The Dodgers have one of the scariest lineups in baseball but have been inconsistent over the last month. They are just 28th in the majors with an OPS of .669 over the last 30 days. That's bad news on the road against Boston ace Garrett Crochet today. Crochet has pitched to a 2.19 ERA in an MLB-high 135 1/3 innings. The southpaw is in the top 15th percentile in strikeout rate (30.6%), average exit velocity, and xERA (2.97). With Crochet allowing fewer than 2.5 earned runs in 17 of his 21 starts this year, it's tough to turn down this prop at close to a pick'em price.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+180)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. Over the last 14 days, Shohei Ohtani has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 23% to 37.5%.
Total RBIs

Carlos Narvaez o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Carlos Narvaez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Carlos Narvaez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Carlos Narvaez has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94-mph in the past week.
Total RBIs

Roman Anthony o0.5 Total RBIs (+205)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Roman Anthony in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Roman Anthony is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Roman Anthony has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's shallowest LF fences today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Roman Anthony will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Andy Pages o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Andy Pages's batting average skill is projected to be in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Andy Pages is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. The shallowest left field fences among all stadiums are found in Fenway Park.. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Andy Pages will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Trevor Story o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Story in the 81st percentile when estimating his home run skill.. Trevor Story is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Trevor Story will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Clayton Kershaw in today's game.. Trevor Story has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total Bases

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. Over the last 14 days, Shohei Ohtani has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 23% to 37.5%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Shohei Ohtani ranks as the 2nd-best batter in baseball.. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Among all stadiums, Fenway Park's RF dimensions are the 3rd-shallowest.. Over the last 14 days, Shohei Ohtani has improved his Barrel% substantially, increasing it from his seasonal rate of 23% to 37.5%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Teoscar Hernandez in the 97th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Teoscar Hernandez is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. The #3 stadium in the game for boosting offensive stats, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the platoon advantage over Garrett Crochet in today's game.. Teoscar Hernandez has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.7%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the game's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.