St. Louis @ Colorado Picks & Props

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Playing on the road generally weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Alec Burleson today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.264) suggests that Alec Burleson has been very fortunate this year with his .293 actual batting average.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. In the last 7 days, Brendan Donovan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9% down to 0%.

Masyn Winn has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is penciled in 6th in the lineup today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Given Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Masyn Winn will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Masyn Winn will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup. In the past week's worth of games, Masyn Winn's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.6% down to 0%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Because of Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Nolan Arenado will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Typically, batters like Nolan Arenado who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Tanner Gordon. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Nolan Arenado today.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Ivan Herrera will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Palmquist in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Ivan Herrera will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Ivan Herrera has negatively regressed with his Barrel% lately; his 10.9% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined recently, going from 9.9% on the season to 0% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jordan Walker has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 100.8-mph average in the past week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Willson Contreras will have the handedness advantage over Carson Palmquist in today's game... and the cherry on top, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

Brenton Doyle's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats across the board, and Brenton Doyle will hold that advantage in today's game.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Tyler Freeman in today's matchup. Despite posting a .361 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Tyler Freeman has been lucky given the .033 discrepancy between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .328.

Jordan Beck's BABIP talent is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Andre Pallante will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Goodman in today's game. Hunter Goodman's launch angle of late (1.7° in the last two weeks) is considerably lower than his 16.5° seasonal angle. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has had some very good luck this year. His .356 figure has been inflated compared to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .284. Hunter Goodman has displayed poor plate discipline this year, placing in the 6th percentile with a 5.33 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yohel Pozo in the 9th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Yohel Pozo is projected to hit 8th in the batting order in today's game. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Yohel Pozo will hold the platoon advantage over Carson Palmquist today... and even more favorably, Palmquist has a large platoon split. Playing on the road typically reduces batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Yohel Pozo in today's game.

Ezequiel Tovar has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this season (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. Andre Pallante will have the handedness advantage over Ezequiel Tovar today. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's skill is quite weak, posting a 5.08 K/BB rate this year while placing in in the 25th percentile.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The switch-hitting Adael Amador will get to bat from his strong side (0) today against Andre Pallante. Adael Amador will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter metrics across the board, and Kyle Farmer will hold that advantage in today's game. In terms of his batting average, Kyle Farmer has had bad variance on his side this year. His .215 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .233.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Pedro Pages has been unlucky this year, notching a .253 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .281 — a .028 discrepancy.

27% of the time that Mickey Moniak has started against a righty hurler this year, he has been lifted for a pinch-hitter. The wind projects to be blowing in from CF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the most-favorable of the day for hurlers. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Mickey Moniak's true offensive ability to be a .315, implying that he has been lucky this year given the .052 difference between that mark and his actual .367 wOBA. Mickey Moniak has displayed bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 18th percentile with a 4.09 K/BB rate.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Michael Toglia will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Michael Toglia has significantly improved his launch angle lately, posting a 22.2° figure in the past 14 days.

The #1 stadium in the game for boosting batting average to RHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Coors Field. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Austin Nola will hold the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Because of Carson Palmquist's large platoon split, Victor Scott II will be at a gigantic disadvantage hitting from the same side of the dish in today's game. Victor Scott II is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies only has 1 same-handed RP.

Ryan McMahon is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. Coors Field projects as the #1 ballpark in the majors for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation among all parks, which often leads to more offense. The weather report projects the 3rd-most suitable hitting weather on the slate today, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Batting from the opposite that Andre Pallante throws from, Ryan McMahon will have an advantage in today's game.