Houston @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
HOU vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases


Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst
Total RBIs
BM
Brice Matthews o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Brice Matthews is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Brice Matthews has been hot in recent games, notching a a 50% Barrel% (a reliable standard to study power) over the last week.. Brice Matthews has been hot in recent games, notching a 102.2-mph average exit velocity over the last week.
Total RBIs

Christian Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker's true offensive skill to be a .327, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .031 gap between that figure and his actual .296 wOBA.
Total RBIs

Victor Caratini o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Victor Caratini has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.8-mph average.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+135)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as the league's 13th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Walter throws from, Eugenio Suarez will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball batters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Walter.
Total RBIs

Jose Altuve o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Altuve in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Jose Altuve is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Compared to his seasonal average of 16.6°, Jose Altuve has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 31° mark in the last week's worth of games.
Total RBIs

Yainer Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Yainer Diaz's batting average ability is projected to be in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yainer Diaz is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Shay Whitcomb o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Zack Short o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-145)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Among every team today, the 4th-worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Total Bases

Victor Caratini o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Victor Caratini has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (55% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The #2 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation often leads to higher offensive output.. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. Victor Caratini has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity lately; just compare his 97.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal 89.8-mph average.
Total Bases

Christian Walker o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 92nd percentile when assessing his home run skill.. Christian Walker is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best ballpark in the majors for RHB batting average.. Among every team today, the worst outfield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks.. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Christian Walker's true offensive skill to be a .327, providing some evidence that he has suffered from bad luck this year given the .031 gap between that figure and his actual .296 wOBA.