Cincinnati @ Washington picks
Nationals Park
CIN vs WAS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the coldest temperature of the day at 84°.. Batting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his BABIP ability, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the coldest temperature of the day at 84°.. Batting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. James Wood has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the league's 10th-shallowest LF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-155)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Low temperatures are strongly correlated with less offense (and more Ks), and the weather forecast calls for the coldest temperature of the day at 84°.. Riley Adams has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league's 10th-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the weakest among all the teams playing today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Riley Adams will hold that advantage today.. Over the last 7 days, Riley Adams's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 50%.
Total Bases

Brady House u1.5 Total Bases (-200)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Brady House is projected to bat 6th in the lineup in this matchup.. Nationals Park projects as the #28 stadium in baseball for overall righty offense, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to less offense.. Hitting from the same side that Chase Burns throws from, Brady House will not have the upper hand in today's game.
Total Bases

James Wood u1.5 Total Bases (-175)
Projection 1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Nationals Park as the 3rd-worst venue in the game for boosting offensive stats to left-handed hitters.. Built just 23 feet above sea level, Nationals Park has one of the lowest altitudes in the league, which tends to lead to less offense.. James Wood has taken a step back with his Barrel% recently; his 18.3% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% over the past 7 days.. James Wood's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off lately, decreasing from 15.3% on the season to 0% over the last week.. James Wood has had some very good luck with his home runs this year; his 32.9 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is a fair amount higher than his 26.8 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.