Boston @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Roman Anthony's BABIP skill is projected in the 88th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Roman Anthony will have an edge today. Roman Anthony has a 92nd percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Abraham Toro has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 96.7-mph average in the last two weeks to his seasonal figure of 90.6-mph. Sporting a .272 batting average this year, Abraham Toro has performed in the 76th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jarren Duran in the 97th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. Jarren Duran is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Jarren Duran will have an edge today. Jarren Duran has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (39.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 94th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Otto Kemp will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Otto Kemp is quite fast, grading out in the 92nd percentile in Sprint Speed at 29.13 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Compared to last season, Ceddanne Rafaela has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.5% to 19.6% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Bryson Stott will have an edge in today's game. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. Bryson Stott will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 7th-worst venue in the game for right-handed base hits. Citizens Bank Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all parks, which often leads to worse offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 15-mph in this game, the best of the day for pitchers. Walker Buehler will have the handedness advantage over Trea Turner in today's matchup. Out of every team playing today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the the Boston Red Sox.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Carlos Narvaez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 94.1-mph over the last 14 days. Grading out in the 91st percentile, Carlos Narvaez has notched a .341 BABIP this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Marsh as the 7th-best batter in MLB when it comes to his BABIP skill. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Brandon Marsh will have the handedness advantage over Walker Buehler in today's matchup. Brandon Marsh has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Brandon Marsh will hold that advantage today.

Trevor Story is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.5°, Trevor Story has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 19.3° figure in the last 14 days.

High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Wheeler throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an edge in today's game. Marcelo Mayer has a 79th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Batting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Max Kepler will have an advantage in today's matchup. Max Kepler will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Max Kepler has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 6.2% rate last year to 11.9% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alex Bregman in the 94th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Alex Bregman is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Alex Bregman pulls many of his flyballs (35.7% — 91st percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. Out of every team in action today, the worst outfield defense is that of the Philadelphia Phillies.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Schwarber ranks as the 17th-best batter in the game. Kyle Schwarber is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this game. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Kyle Schwarber will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 94th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. J.T. Realmuto is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Bryce Harper ranks as the 13th-best batter in the game. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Hitting from the opposite that Walker Buehler throws from, Bryce Harper will have an edge today. Bryce Harper has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Wilyer Abreu ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Wilyer Abreu is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Wilyer Abreu will hold the platoon advantage against Zack Wheeler today.

Nick Castellanos's batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. HRs are generally more common at parks with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all major league stadiums. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather report forecasts the 5th-hottest temperature of all games on the slate at 83°. Nick Castellanos will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.