Chicago @ Tampa Bay picks
George M. Steinbrenner Field
CHW vs TB Picks
MLB Picks
Hits, Runs, and RBIs


Todd Cordell
Betting Analyst
Jonathan Aranda has been extremely productive all season long, especially on home soil. He's hitting a ridiculous .341 in home games, a long way from his still excellent .281 average on the road. Aranda also leads all Rays batters in average, wOBA, and on-base percentage against righties.
Total Hits

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total Hits (+135)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Christopher Morel has made significant improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.3% rate last year to 15.5% this season.. Christopher Morel has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91.7-mph average to last year's 89.1-mph figure.
Total RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+300)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #5 field in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Miguel Vargas is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game.. The #5 field in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 91st percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd in the batting order today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #5 park in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Luis Robert Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Luis Robert Jr. in the 87th percentile when estimating his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks George M. Steinbrenner Field as the 9th-best venue in MLB for boosting offensive stats to RHB.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 87°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Luis Robert Jr. has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 100.3-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95.3-mph.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Jonathan Aranda is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field ranks as the #5 park in baseball for LHB home runs, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+110)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile as it relates to his home run ability.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. The #5 field in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-118)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #5 field in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. The #5 field in the majors for boosting home runs to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is George M. Steinbrenner Field.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Christopher Morel will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Outs Recorded

Shane Baz u17.5 Outs Recorded (+125)
Projection 16.9 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It may be smart to expect better results for the Chicago White Sox offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes they are the 10th-unluckiest offense in the majors this year.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fences among all major league parks.. The weather forecast expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level on the slate today at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Chicago's 15.9° launch angle (an advanced standard to assess the ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in MLB this year: #2 overall.