St. Louis @ Colorado Picks & Props

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Willson Contreras will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today. Willson Contreras's launch angle this year (10.8°) is a significant dropoff from his 14.1° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. The switch-hitting Adael Amador will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side (0) today against Michael McGreevy.

Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Ivan Herrera in today's game. Ivan Herrera has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 11% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last 7 days. Ivan Herrera's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off of late, falling from 10.1% on the season to 0% in the past 7 days. Despite posting a .383 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Ivan Herrera has had positive variance on his side given the .051 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .332.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Arenado in the 7th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Typically, bats like Nolan Arenado who hit a lot of flyballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Austin Gomber. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Nolan Arenado will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team today. Nolan Arenado's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined from last year to this one, falling from 45% to 36%.

Ryan McMahon is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brendan Donovan in the 96th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Brendan Donovan is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brenton Doyle in the 75th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Batting from the same side that Austin Gomber throws from, Alec Burleson will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Alec Burleson will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's game. As it relates to his batting average, Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side this year. His .293 mark has been considerably higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .267.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters.

Masyn Winn is projected to bat 6th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 73% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 5th-best infield defense belongs to the Colorado Rockies. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Masyn Winn in today's matchup. Masyn Winn has negatively regressed with his Barrel% in recent games; his 5.6% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% in the last week's worth of games. Masyn Winn's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 89.3-mph seasonal average has lowered to 86-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Michael Toglia will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Michael McGreevy will hold the platoon advantage over Hunter Goodman today. Hunter Goodman's launch angle in recent games (4.8° in the past two weeks' worth of games) is considerably worse than his 16.7° seasonal angle. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Hunter Goodman has been very fortunate this year. His .361 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .289. When it comes to plate discipline, Hunter Goodman's ability is quite weak, putting up a 5.08 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 8th percentile.

Jordan Beck's BABIP skill is projected in the 78th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jordan Beck is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Victor Scott II stands a good chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.

Michael McGreevy will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ezequiel Tovar in today's matchup. Ezequiel Tovar's quickness has fallen off this year. His 28.1 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 27.44 ft/sec now. As it relates to plate discipline, Ezequiel Tovar's talent is quite bad, sporting an 8.77 K/BB rate since the start of last season while grading out in in the 1st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Orlando Arcia will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Mickey Moniak has been replaced by a pinch-hitter 28% of the time when starting against a northpaw this year. Mickey Moniak's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off of late; his 93.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 71.7-mph over the last 7 days. Mickey Moniak has been lucky this year, putting up a .359 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .315 — a .044 disparity. Mickey Moniak has shown bad plate discipline this year, checking in at the 15th percentile with a 4.31 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Batting from the opposite that Michael McGreevy throws from, Yanquiel Fernandez will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Batting from the same side that Michael McGreevy throws from, Tyler Freeman has a tough challenge today. Tyler Freeman has been lucky this year, putting up a .367 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .328 — a .039 difference.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Coors Field as the best venue in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average. Built 5197 feet above sea level, Coors Field has the highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report forecasts temperatures in this game to reach the highest level of the day at 88°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to RF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for hitters. Hitting from the opposite that Austin Gomber throws from, Pedro Pages will have the upper hand in today's matchup.