St. Louis @ Arizona picks

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.271) may lead us to conclude that Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .248 actual batting average.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.. Willson Contreras has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Eugenio Suarez as baseball's 14th-best home run hitter.. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Eugenio Suarez has big-time power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (27.9% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas struggles to strike batters out (19th percentile K%) — great news for Suarez.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.271) may lead us to conclude that Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .248 actual batting average.

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today's game.. Extreme flyball batters like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Alek Thomas has seen a big improvement in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 92.6-mph average over the last 14 days to his seasonal 90.3-mph EV.

Projected catcher Jose Herrera grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The #3 stadium in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Merrill Kelly's slider percentage has fallen by 5.3% from last year to this one (11.8% to 6.5%) .. Among all starters, Merrill Kelly's fastball velocity of 91.3 mph grades out in the 15th percentile this year.. Merrill Kelly has been one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play this year with a .248 BABIP and should see that luck normalize going forward.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.. Ivan Herrera has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.8-mph average to last season's 91.5-mph average.

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Herrera are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.271) may lead us to conclude that Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has experienced some negative variance this year with his .248 actual batting average.