St. Louis @ Arizona Picks & Props

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Over the past week, Corbin Carroll's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 15.4% down to 0%. Over the last week, Corbin Carroll's 0% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.7%.

Chase Field has the 3rd-deepest centerfield dimensions in Major League Baseball. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Brendan Donovan will be at a disadvantage playing on the visting team in today's matchup. Over the last 7 days, Brendan Donovan's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 9.2% down to 0%.

The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -5° colder than the average outdoor game of all games today — favorable for pitching. Alec Burleson hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.7% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the game's 3rd-deepest CF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams in action today, the best infield defense is that of the the Arizona Diamondbacks. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Alec Burleson in today's game. Alec Burleson has struggled with his Barrel% of late; his 9.3% seasonal rate has lowered to 0% in the last week.

Jordan Walker's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Despite posting a .248 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Jordan Walker has been unlucky given the .058 discrepancy between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .306. Jordan Walker's maximum exit velocity (a reliable standard to evaluate power) has been 116.5 mph this year, checking in at the 97th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 77th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. Jake McCarthy is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Masyn Winn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 79th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Ivan Herrera is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Ivan Herrera has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.8-mph average to last season's 91.5-mph average.

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Victor Scott II will have the handedness advantage against Merrill Kelly in today's game. Victor Scott II's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 16.7% on the season to 22.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Pedro Pages's true offensive talent to be a .281, implying that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .025 deviation between that mark and his actual .256 wOBA.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. As it relates to plate discipline, Nolan Arenado's talent is quite impressive, posting a 1.45 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 88th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willson Contreras is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Willson Contreras has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 14% seasonal rate to 21.1% over the past two weeks.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr.'s batting average ability is projected to be in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Lourdes Gurriel Jr. is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats.

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, Alek Thomas will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Jose Herrera are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Jose Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Geraldo Perdomo is penciled in 3rd in the lineup today. Chase Field projects as the #2 park in baseball for lefty batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Geraldo Perdomo will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Miles Mikolas today. Geraldo Perdomo will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 93rd percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball batters like Blaze Alexander usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Miles Mikolas. Blaze Alexander will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Chase Field profiles as the #2 field in the majors for RHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.

Ketel Marte has gone over 1.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.