Houston @ Seattle picks

Both starters are stingy with the runs in an extremely pitcher-friendly park. Hunter Brown and Bryan Woo pitch deeper into ballgames, which should lead to the Under. 

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 11th-best batter in the game when assessing his batting average skill.. Julio Rodriguez is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this game.. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers.. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Julio Rodriguez will hold that advantage today.. Julio Rodriguez has made notable improvements with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 8.1% seasonal rate to 19% over the past two weeks.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Randy Arozarena in the 95th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Randy Arozarena is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.. Randy Arozarena pulls a lot of his flyballs (33.5% — 78th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 8th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Randy Arozarena will benefit from the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Randy Arozarena has made substantial gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 12.3% seasonal rate to 23.5% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The Seattle Mariners projected batting order projects as the 3rd-worst of the day in terms of overall hitting ability.. Todd Tichenor projects as a Huge Hitters Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Projected catcher Yainer Diaz grades out as a weak pitch framer, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. T-Mobile Park has the shallowest RF dimensions in Major League Baseball.. Given that flyball pitchers are hit hardest by groundball hitters, Hunter Brown (49% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged today with 3 GB hitters in Seattle's projected batting order.

Mitch Garver pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (40.5% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest LF fences today.. Extreme groundball hitters like Mitch Garver generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Hunter Brown.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Mitch Garver will hold that advantage in today's game.. Mitch Garver has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.7-mph average to last year's 94.6-mph average.. Mitch Garver has done a good job optimizing his launch angle on his hardest-hit balls. His 17° figure is among the highest in the majors since the start of last season (88th percentile).

T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers.. Taylor Trammell will have the handedness advantage against Logan Gilbert in today's matchup.. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Taylor Trammell stands a good chance of holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.. Posting a 93.3-mph average exit velocity in the past 14 days, Taylor Trammell has been in great form recently.

When estimating his home run talent, Luke Raley ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers.. Luke Raley will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Hunter Brown in today's matchup.. Luke Raley will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats.. Luke Raley has seen a big gain in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 91.4-mph average in the last two weeks' worth of games to his seasonal mark of 88.7-mph.

When assessing his home run talent, Dominic Canzone ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. T-Mobile Park has the 3rd-least fair ground in the league — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Dominic Canzone will have an edge in today's matchup.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Dominic Canzone will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Since the start of last season, Dominic Canzone's 13% Barrel%, a reliable standard for measuring power, places him in the 90th percentile among his peers.

Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Cole Young will have an edge in today's game.. Cole Young pulls many of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the game's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. Cole Young will possess the home field advantage today, which figures to boost all of his stats.. Cole Young has made big gains with his Barrel% lately, upping his 7.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past two weeks.. Cole Young's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved lately, rising from 43.5% on the season to 68.8% over the last 14 days.

Cooper Hummel pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 83rd percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 4th-shallowest RF fences today.. The Seattle Mariners infield defense projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks T-Mobile Park as the worst venue in the league for run-scoring.. Built just 17 feet above sea level, T-Mobile Park has one of the lowest elevations in the majors, which generally leads to worse offense.. As far as temperature and humidity are concerned, the most suitable pitching weather on the schedule is expected for this contest.. Batting from the same side that Hunter Brown throws from, Julio Rodriguez will have a disadvantage today.