St. Louis @ Arizona picks
Chase Field
STL vs AZ Picks
MLB Picks
Total Singles


Ryan Gilbert
Betting Analyst
After moving around the lineup from between the three and seven hole, Donovan has now hit leadoff for over a month. It’s paid off for the Cardinals as Donovan has been able to get on base at the top of the St. Louis lineup. Donovan is 14 for 46 (.304) in July, with the majority of those hits being singles. He has just three extra-base hits this month, and 73 of his 103 hits this season have been singles. The second baseman has a single in five straight games and seven of his last nine, dating back to July 5. He’s also had success against Arizona starter Ryne Nelson, going 2 for 6 with two singles.
Total RBIs

Jordan Walker o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the majors's 19th-best home run batter.. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sonny Gray.. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the majors's 19th-best home run batter.. Nolan Gorman is penciled in 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.. Batting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Outs Recorded

Ryne Nelson u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 16.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Ryne Nelson has used his four-seam fastball 9% more often this year (65%) than he did last season (56%).. Ryne Nelson has posted a .235 BABIP this year, indicating that he has been one of the luckiest mound aces in Major League Baseball on balls in play and regression likely forthcoming.. Placing in the 15th percentile, Ryne Nelson put up a 7.8% Swinging Strike% this year.
Outs Recorded

Sonny Gray u17.5 Outs Recorded (-105)
Projection 16.4 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Sonny Gray is projected to throw 85 pitches in today's matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 12th-least of all pitchers today.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in Major League Baseball for base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Sonny Gray will be at a disadvantage playing away from home today.. Sonny Gray's fastball velocity has decreased 1.2 mph this year (91.1 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).. Sonny Gray has gone to his cutter 5.6% less often this season (12.2%) than he did last year (17.8%).
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jordan Walker o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in Major League Baseball, which tends to lead to more offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Eugenio Suarez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eugenio Suarez projects as the 16th-best home run hitter in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.. Extreme groundball hitters like Eugenio Suarez usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sonny Gray.. Eugenio Suarez will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.
Total Bases

Masyn Winn o1.5 Total Bases (+150)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Masyn Winn's batting average talent is projected to be in the 78th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in Major League Baseball for right-handed batting average.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Alek Thomas o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Chase Field grades out as the #2 stadium in the majors for LHB batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Alek Thomas will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage today.