St. Louis @ Arizona picks

The St. Louis Cardinals and Arizona Diamondbacks have both been profitable this season when betting on high-scoring games. St. Louis is 51-41-5 (+5.80 units) to the Over this season, with Arizona right there at 51-42-4 (+4.50). Tonight’s pitching matchup also strengthens the case, with Andre Pallante (5-5, 4.49 ERA) squaring off against Brandon Pfaadt (9-6, 5.16 ERA).

The Cards will send struggling righty Andre Pallante (4.93 ERA in his last 15 starts) to the hill for tonight's showdown against the Diamondbacks. The D-Backs are third in the majors in OPS (.772) and seventh in run first inning rate (32%). That said, Arizona could also have issues conceding runs since Brandon Pfaadt will toe the rubber. The righty is near the bottom of the majors in xERA (6.20), xBA (.306), and average exit velocity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

Ketel Marte projects as the 12th-best batter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ketel Marte is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. In notching a .404 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Ketel Marte is ranked in the 98th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 19th-best home run batter.. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 93rd percentile when assessing his batting average skill.. Alec Burleson is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Batting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Alec Burleson will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Chase Field.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Willson Contreras's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, increasing from 17.6% on the season to 26.1% in the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jordan Walker in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as the league's 19th-best home run batter.. Nolan Gorman is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 78% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Chase Field grades out as the #2 venue in the game for LHB batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Pfaadt throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 91st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 9th-best park in the league for run-scoring.. Chase Field sits at the 2nd-highest elevation among all major league stadiums. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense.. Ivan Herrera has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 99.8-mph average to last year's 91.5-mph mark.