Los Angeles @ Philadelphia picks

The Angels have been producing at the dish lately. They are sixth in the majors in OPS over the last month (.785) and they now have the highest run first inning rate in the bigs (37.5%). The Phillies plate a run in the opening frame in 39.1% of their games at home while boasting an OPS of .783. The Phillies will have Jesus Luzardo on the mound but he has looked shaky over the last couple of months. The Halos have yet to announce a starter but it probably won't matter, given the state of their rotation. It will likely be Jose Soriano who has an xERA of 4.05 and is in the bottom 10th percentile in hard hit rate and exit velocity.

The Los Angeles Angels have 8 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo today, which is especially problematic given his large platoon split.. Out of all starting pitchers, Jesus Luzardo's fastball spin rate of 2226 rpm is in the 23rd percentile this year.. Given the 0.33 difference between Jesus Luzardo's 10.52 K/9 and his 10.19 estimated true talent K/9 (via the leading projection system, THE BAT), it's safe to say he's been one of the most fortunate pitchers in baseball this year when it comes to strikeouts and figures to see negative regression going forward.

When estimating his home run ability, Jorge Soler ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Jorge Soler will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Jorge Soler pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.5% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

Mike Trout projects as the 7th-best home run hitter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mike Trout is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this game.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Mike Trout will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Yoan Moncada ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Yoan Moncada pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.9% — 88th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams playing today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. Yoan Moncada has notched a .337 Expected wOBA (xwOBA) since the start of last season, checking in at the 87th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryson Stott in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Zeferjahn in today's matchup.. Bryson Stott has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 5th-worst out of all the teams playing today.. Bryson Stott will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Taylor Ward in the 93rd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Taylor Ward is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in this matchup.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Taylor Ward will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.

Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Ryan Zeferjahn throws from, Max Kepler will have the upper hand in today's game.. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams playing today.. Max Kepler will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his home run ability, Jo Adell ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Jo Adell is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. Jo Adell will hold the platoon advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and the cherry on top, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.

When it comes to his home run skill, Logan O'Hoppe ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Logan O'Hoppe will have the handedness advantage against Jesus Luzardo in today's matchup... and even better, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. Logan O'Hoppe pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.7% — 86th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. Out of all the teams playing today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the the Philadelphia Phillies.. This season, Logan O'Hoppe has experienced a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs, now sitting at an average of 97.7 mph compared to last year's 94.6 mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Nick Castellanos is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Home runs are generally more common at venues with shallow fences, and Citizens Bank Park has the shallowest among all parks.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 4th-highest level on the schedule today at 83°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Los Angeles Angels outfield defense grades out as the 4th-worst out of all the teams playing today.