Atlanta @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
ATL vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Ronald Acuna Jr. o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. Humid weather has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer Ks), and the weather report expects the most humid conditions of the day at 81%.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Sean Murphy o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Sean Murphy ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Sean Murphy is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 63% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Placing in the 99th percentile for power, Sean Murphy has averaged 47.8 home runs per 600 plate appearances this year.
Total RBIs

Ivan Herrera o0.5 Total RBIs (+178)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+146)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Willson Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 76th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+172)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run hitter in Major League Baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Nolan Gorman will have the handedness advantage over Davis Daniel in today's game.. Nolan Gorman has big-time HR ability (97th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a sure thing (31.6% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Davis Daniel is a pitch-to-contact type (6th percentile K%) — great news for Gorman.
Total RBIs

Matt Olson o0.5 Total RBIs (+208)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Olson in the 97th percentile when it comes to his home run talent.. Matt Olson is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Batting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Matt Olson will have an edge in today's game.
Total RBIs

Alec Burleson o0.5 Total RBIs (+133)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Burleson in the 92nd percentile when estimating his batting average ability.. Alec Burleson is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Davis Daniel throws from, Alec Burleson will have an advantage in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Sonny Gray u17.5 Outs Recorded (+100)
Projection 16.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The Atlanta Braves have been the 3rd-unluckiest offense in the league this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better in future games. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is predicted to have the 3rd-hottest temperature on the schedule today at 88°.. Sonny Gray's fastball velocity has fallen 1.2 mph this year (91.1 mph) below where it was last season (92.3 mph).. Sonny Gray has relied on his cutter 5.6% less often this season (12.2%) than he did last year (17.8%).
Total Bases

Ronald Acuna Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ronald Acuna Jr. projects as the 5th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ronald Acuna Jr. is penciled in 3rd in the batting order today.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Ronald Acuna Jr. hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 7th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Ivan Herrera o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ivan Herrera in the 90th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Ivan Herrera is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. On average, the fence height at Busch Stadium is the 8th-lowest among all major league baseball stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report calls for for the 4th-best hitting conditions of all games on the slate.. Home field advantage generally improves hitter stats in all categories, and Ivan Herrera will hold that advantage in today's matchup.