Washington @ St. Louis picks

Michael Soroka has averaged just 15.8 outs per start this season and gone Under this line in eight of 12, including six of seven away games.

Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (77% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game.

In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Paul DeJong has big-time HR ability (80th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's always far from assured (30.7% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Miles Mikolas struggles to strike batters out (8th percentile K%) — great news for DeJong.. Paul DeJong's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 39.8% to 51.2%.. Paul DeJong has hit 26 long-balls per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season, grading out in the 85th percentile for power.

When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brady House in the 94th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Brady House hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 80th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.283) provides evidence that Brady House has had bad variance on his side this year with his .254 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill.. Willson Contreras is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game.

Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Gorman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Soroka.

Nolan Gorman projects as the 19th-best home run batter in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Mike Soroka throws from, Nolan Gorman will have the upper hand in today's game.. Extreme groundball batters like Nolan Gorman tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mike Soroka.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in today's game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mike Soroka in today's game.

When estimating his BABIP talent, James Wood is projected as the best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. James Wood is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. In the league, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High temperatures are strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer whiffs), and the weather forecast forecasts the 3rd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Miles Mikolas throws from, James Wood will have an advantage in today's matchup.