Washington @ St. Louis picks
Busch Stadium
WAS vs STL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

James Wood o0.5 Total RBIs (+250)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.
Total RBIs

Nolan Gorman o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB's 18th-best home run hitter.. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 86%.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Willson Contreras o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Willson Contreras ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Willson Contreras will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats.. Willson Contreras has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.9-mph to 92.6-mph in the last two weeks.
Total RBIs

Masyn Winn o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Masyn Winn will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Masyn Winn's launch angle this year (17.5°) is significantly better than his 13° angle last season.. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Masyn Winn has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 20.5° figure in the last two weeks' worth of games.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Nolan Gorman o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Nolan Gorman as MLB's 18th-best home run hitter.. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (78% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 86%.. Hitting from the opposite that Jake Irvin throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.
Total Bases

Lars Nootbaar o0.5 Total Bases (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 92nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Lars Nootbaar will have the handedness advantage over Jake Irvin today.. Lars Nootbaar hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (41.4% — 100th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 7th-shallowest CF fences today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Lars Nootbaar will hold that advantage in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

James Wood o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects James Wood as the best hitter in baseball as it relates to his BABIP talent.. James Wood is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 86%.. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, James Wood will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Riley Adams o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-140)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. High humidity has a small yet noteworthy link with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather forecast calls for the most humid conditions of all games on the slate today at 86%.. Out of all the teams in action today, the weakest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.. Riley Adams has been unlucky this year, putting up a .196 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .284 — a .088 deviation.
Outs Recorded

Jake Irvin u17.5 Outs Recorded (+110)
Projection 16.7 (Under)
EV Model Rating
It is scheduled that we will see a Huge Hitters Umpire (Ramon De Jesus) in charge of the strike zone in today's game.. Riley Adams, the Nationals's expected catcher in today's game, projects as a weak pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. Jake Irvin will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game.. Jake Irvin's 91.6-mph velocity on his fastball this season is a sizeable 2.3-mph decrease from last year's 93.9-mph figure.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

CJ Abrams o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+105)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, CJ Abrams ranks in the 79th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. CJ Abrams is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game.. Among all major league stadiums, Busch Stadium has the 8th-lowest average fence height.. CJ Abrams will have the handedness advantage over Sonny Gray in today's game.. Out of all the teams in action today, the 4th-weakest infield defense is that of the St. Louis Cardinals.