Colorado @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
COL vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Mickey Moniak o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Michael Toglia o0.5 Total RBIs (+215)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate today.
Total RBIs

Ryan McMahon o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 85th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Ryan McMahon has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
Total Bases

Romy Gonzalez o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Romy Gonzalez as the 17th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his BABIP talent.. Romy Gonzalez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Batting from the opposite that Kyle Freeland throws from, Romy Gonzalez will have an advantage today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Michael Toglia o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Michael Toglia is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.
Total Bases

Mickey Moniak o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Yanquiel Fernandez o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. The 3rd-shallowest right field fences in the league are found in Fenway Park.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Yanquiel Fernandez will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in this game.
Total Bases

Nate Eaton u1.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 0.8 (Under)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Nate Eaton ranks in the 6th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Among all parks, the 2nd-tallest average fence height are at Fenway Park.. Built just 16 feet above sea level, Fenway Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Mickey Moniak o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-110)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run skill, Mickey Moniak ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Mickey Moniak is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 4th-best for hitting on the slate today.. Mickey Moniak will hold the platoon advantage against Brayan Bello in today's matchup... and moreover, Bello has a large platoon split.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Ryan McMahon o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+115)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan McMahon in the 85th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Fenway Park as the 3rd-best field in the game for run-scoring.. According to the weather report, the temperature and humidity for this contest will be the 3rd-best for hitting on the slate today.. Given Brayan Bello's large platoon split, Ryan McMahon will have a gigantic advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in today's game.. Ryan McMahon has an 81st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.4%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards the league's shallowest LF fences in today's game.
COL vs BOS Consensus Picks
View all Consensus Picks70% picking Colorado vs Boston to go Over
Total PicksCOL 265, BOS 114