Miami @ Cincinnati Picks & Props

Considering Brady Singer's large platoon split, Otto Lopez will be at a massive disadvantage batting from the same side of the dish today. Extreme groundball bats like Otto Lopez usually hit worse against extreme groundball pitchers like Brady Singer. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Otto Lopez today. Otto Lopez has compiled a .265 BABIP this year, ranking in the 20th percentile.

Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Elly De La Cruz is an extreme groundball hitter and squares off against the strong infield defense of Miami (#2-best on the slate today). Over the past 7 days, Elly De La Cruz's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.3% down to 0%. Elly De La Cruz's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 95.4-mph seasonal EV has fallen off to 84.6-mph in the past two weeks. Elly De La Cruz's launch angle of late (-1.6° in the last 7 days) is quite a bit lower than his 7.4° seasonal angle.

Typically, batters like Xavier Edwards who hit a lot of flyballs are generally less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Brady Singer. Xavier Edwards will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's game. Compared to his seasonal angle of 9.1°, Xavier Edwards has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (4.9°) over the last 14 days. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (6.5°) is quite a bit worse than his 10.8° figure last season. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.262) implies that Xavier Edwards has had positive variance on his side this year with his .284 actual batting average.

Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Agustin Ramirez will be at a tremendous disadvantage batting from the same side of the plate in today's game. Agustin Ramirez will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Agustin Ramirez's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has decreased recently, going from 41% on the season to 33.3% in the last week. With a .256 BABIP this year, Agustin Ramirez is positioned in the 13th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Derek Hill has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.3%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Batting from the same side that Janson Junk throws from, Matt McLain meets a tough challenge in today's game. Among all the teams on the slate today, the 2nd-best infield defense is that of the Miami Marlins. Matt McLain has negatively regressed with his Barrel% recently; his 6.9% seasonal rate has dropped off to 0% over the last 14 days. Matt McLain's exit velocity on flyballs has decreased lately; his 93.1-mph seasonal EV has lowered to 89.3-mph in the past two weeks. Compared to his seasonal angle of 15.1°, Matt McLain has produced a noticeably lower launch angle (7.8°) in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Javier Sanoja in the 95th percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

Liam Hicks is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 84% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Because of Brady Singer's large platoon split, Liam Hicks will have a big advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate today. Liam Hicks has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.

The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Hitting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Will Benson will have the upper hand today. Will Benson pulls many of his flyballs (33.2% — 75th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Will Benson will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 96th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Gavin Lux in the 86th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Gavin Lux is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

Tyler Stephenson's BABIP talent is projected in the 90th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Tyler Stephenson has an 87th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Tyler Stephenson will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should improve all of his stats.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Austin Hays pulls many of his flyballs (34.4% — 84th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Austin Hays will hold that advantage today.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the lineup in this matchup. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. TJ Friedl will hold the platoon advantage over Janson Junk in today's game. TJ Friedl pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (39.1% — 97th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.5% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 7th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics in all categories, and Spencer Steer will hold that advantage today.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. The #6 park in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 6th-best stadium in the majors for righty batting average. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics in all categories, and Noelvi Marte will hold that advantage today.

Nick Fortes has gone over 0.5 in 2 of his last 10 games.