Miami @ Cincinnati picks
Great American Ball Park
MIA vs CIN Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Janson Junk has a few factors working against him that have kept this number at a plus-money price point; he's due for some negative regression, and he's a chase-reliant pitcher going against a team that doesn't chase much. That said, I'm not sold, it's going to matter a lot because of the arsenal Junk throws. Junk gets an above-average amount of swing-and-miss on both the slider and sweeper. This Reds lineup will have seven players in it with an above-average strikeout rate against at least one of those pitches. That alone is enough for me to grab this price.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+150)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Janson Junk in today's game.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed home runs.. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 11th-worst out of all the teams in action today.. Eric Wagaman has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his home runs this year; his 9.1 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 14.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Connor Norby o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Connor Norby in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed home runs.. The 7th-shallowest left field fences among all parks are found in Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 82°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-worst out of all the teams in action today.
Total RBIs

Matt McLain o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 91st percentile when assessing his BABIP talent.. Matt McLain is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Great American Ball Park as the 2nd-best venue in baseball for right-handed home runs.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Matt McLain has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.4%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them out towards baseball's 8th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.
Total Bases

Kyle Stowers o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run talent, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. Great American Ball Park has the 8th-shallowest RF dimensions in the league.. The weather forecast projects temperatures in this contest to reach the 3rd-highest level on the slate today at 81°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).
Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best batter in MLB when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Elly De La Cruz will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Janson Junk in today's game.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Jesus Sanchez ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. The #2 ballpark in baseball for boosting home runs to left-handed hitters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Great American Ball Park.. The weather forecast predicts the 3rd-best hitting weather of all games on the slate, as it relates to temperature and humidity.. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage over Brady Singer in today's matchup... and even more favorably, Singer has a large platoon split.