Milwaukee @ Miami Picks & Props

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Andruw Monasterio has had some very poor luck with his wOBA since the start of last season; his .275 rate is considerably lower than his .310 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. Andruw Monasterio ranks in the 95th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (21.7% rate since the start of last season). The standard deviation of Andruw Monasterio's launch angle since the start of last season (26.2°) is in the 76th percentile. A low deviation like this tends to lead to a higher BABIP. Checking in at the 84th percentile of THE BAT X's Spray Score since the start of last season, Andruw Monasterio demonstrated exceptional skill in hitting the ball to all fields - a crucial talent for achieving a high batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles LoanDepot Park as the 8th-worst field in Major League Baseball for LHB batting average. LoanDepot Park's altitude is near sea-level, one of the lowest among all major league parks, which generally leads to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making the temperature in this match-up -11° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) but may find it hard to clear baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls this year (5.8°) is significantly worse than his 10.8° angle last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Chourio in the 93rd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Jackson Chourio is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this game. Jackson Chourio hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 84th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Jackson Chourio's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better in recent games, increasing from 39.6% on the season to 50% in the last 7 days.

In the past 7 days, Isaac Collins's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89.6-mph over the course of the season to 104-mph recently. In notching a .346 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Isaac Collins has performed in the 76th percentile. Isaac Collins has recorded a .338 BABIP since the start of last season, ranking in the 91st percentile.

Eric Haase is notably athletic, ranking in the 77th percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.28 ft/sec this year.

Caleb Durbin hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Caleb Durbin has exhibited impressive plate discipline this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile with a 1.32 K/BB rate.

Sal Frelick's batting average talent is projected to be in the 84th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Sal Frelick is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game. Sal Frelick will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's game. Sal Frelick hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.2% — 91st percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. Sal Frelick has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.6-mph average to last season's 83.3-mph mark.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 96th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Dane Myers tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Brandon Woodruff. Dane Myers will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats. Dane Myers has notched a .365 BABIP this year, checking in at the 94th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brice Turang in the 88th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Brice Turang is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Brice Turang will have an edge today. Compared to his seasonal average of 8.4°, Brice Turang has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 23° mark in the past 7 days. Brice Turang's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 45.5% to 51%.

Connor Norby's BABIP ability is projected in the 95th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Home field advantage typically improves hitter stats in all categories, and Connor Norby will hold that advantage today. Despite posting a .285 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Connor Norby has had some very poor luck given the .029 difference between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .314.

As it relates to his BABIP skill, Christian Yelich is projected as the 12th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Christian Yelich is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup. Batting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Christian Yelich will have the upper hand today. Over the last 7 days, Christian Yelich's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 8.4% up to 25%. Christian Yelich has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 102.6-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal mark of 95.9-mph.

Heriberto Hernandez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats. Ranking in the 81st percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.44 ft/sec this year, Heriberto Hernandez is quite athletic.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, William Contreras ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). William Contreras is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order today. William Contreras hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40% — 98th percentile) and is fortunate to face the league's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. William Contreras has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90-mph to 94.1-mph in the last two weeks. Over the last 7 days, William Contreras's 55.6% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 90th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today. Jesus Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Woodruff in today's game. Jesus Sanchez will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats. Jesus Sanchez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.1-mph to 95.1-mph in the last 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 75th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Agustin Ramirez is projected to bat 4th in the lineup in today's game. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences in MLB. Agustin Ramirez will benefit from the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats. Agustin Ramirez has made notable strides with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.6% seasonal rate to 27.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Lopez in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Otto Lopez is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game. Hitters such as Otto Lopez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Brandon Woodruff who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Otto Lopez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 97.9-mph average in the past 14 days to his seasonal mark of 92.7-mph.

Liam Hicks will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Woodruff today. Liam Hicks will hold the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Liam Hicks's 57.9% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.2%. Liam Hicks has put up a .349 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, checking in at the 80th percentile. By putting up a 1.29 K/BB rate this year, Liam Hicks has demonstrated impressive plate discipline, ranking in the 93rd percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 82nd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Woodruff throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an edge in today's game. Kyle Stowers will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats. Kyle Stowers has made substantial gains with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last year to 20.2% this year.

Eric Wagaman hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.9% — 97th percentile) and is fortunate to face MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Eric Wagaman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Jake Bauers will have the upper hand today. Extreme flyball hitters like Jake Bauers usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera. Jake Bauers has made sizeable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 10.5% rate last season to 15.7% this year.