Tampa Bay @ Minnesota picks
Target Field
TB vs MIN Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown

Drew Rasmussen o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 4.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among all starting pitchers, Drew Rasmussen's fastball velocity of 94.8 mph grades out in the 80th percentile this year.. Out of all starting pitchers, Drew Rasmussen's fastball spin rate of 2486 rpm ranks in the 90th percentile this year.. Drew Rasmussen has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.63 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.47 — a 0.84 K/9 gap.
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.. Junior Caminero has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.8-mph.
Total RBIs

Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors's 11th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.. Ryan Jeffers has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 13.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 20.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Ryan Jeffers has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.68 K/BB rate.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Thaiss o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.. Matt Thaiss's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.34 ft/sec now.
Total Bases

Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.