Tampa Bay @ Minnesota Picks & Props

TB vs MIN Picks

MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown
Drew Rasmussen logo
Drew Rasmussen o4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (+120)
Projection 4.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Among all starting pitchers, Drew Rasmussen's fastball velocity of 94.8 mph grades out in the 80th percentile this year.. Out of all starting pitchers, Drew Rasmussen's fastball spin rate of 2486 rpm ranks in the 90th percentile this year.. Drew Rasmussen has had some very poor luck with his strikeouts this year, posting a 7.63 K/9 despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 8.47 — a 0.84 K/9 gap.
Total RBIs
Brandon Lowe logo
Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When assessing his home run ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Junior Caminero logo
Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.. Junior Caminero has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 97.8-mph average in the last week's worth of games to his seasonal mark of 95.8-mph.
Total RBIs
Byron Buxton logo
Byron Buxton o0.5 Total RBIs (+185)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as the majors's 11th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. Byron Buxton will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.
Total RBIs
Ryan Jeffers logo
Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today.. Ryan Jeffers has been unlucky in regards to his home runs this year; his 13.3 HR per 600 plate appearances rate is quite a bit lower than his 20.2 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Ryan Jeffers has shown impressive plate discipline this year, placing in the 80th percentile with a 1.68 K/BB rate.
Total RBIs
Jonathan Aranda logo
Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent.. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.
Total RBIs
Matt Wallner logo
Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Matt Wallner projects as the 10th-best home run batter in the majors, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Matt Wallner will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs
Matt Thaiss logo
Matt Thaiss o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-130)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.. Matt Thaiss's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.34 ft/sec now.
Total Bases
Yandy Diaz logo
Yandy Diaz o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 5 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. Target Field ranks as the #6 stadium in baseball for run-scoring, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense.. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.
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TB vs MIN Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

66% picking Tampa Bay vs Minnesota to go Under

34%
66%

Total PicksTB 158, MIN 307

Total
Over
Under

TB vs MIN Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Christian Vazquez Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Christian Vazquez
C. Vazquez
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Christian Vazquez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.207) suggests that Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .165 actual batting average.

Christian Vazquez logo

Christian Vazquez

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Christian Vazquez will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.207) suggests that Christian Vazquez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .165 actual batting average.

Yandy Diaz Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Yandy Diaz
Y. Diaz
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Yandy Diaz logo

Yandy Diaz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

When it comes to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best batter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball bats like Yandy Diaz tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Ryan Jeffers Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ryan Jeffers
R. Jeffers
catcher C • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today. Ryan Jeffers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .317 mark is quite a bit lower than his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Ryan Jeffers logo

Ryan Jeffers

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics across the board, and Ryan Jeffers will hold that advantage today. Ryan Jeffers has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .317 mark is quite a bit lower than his .347 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Chandler Simpson Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Chandler Simpson
C. Simpson
center outfield CF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average talent. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Chandler Simpson will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball hitters like Chandler Simpson tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Chandler Simpson logo

Chandler Simpson

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 10th-best batter in Major League Baseball when estimating his batting average talent. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Chandler Simpson will have the handedness advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. Extreme groundball hitters like Chandler Simpson tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Jose Caballero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jose Caballero
J. Caballero
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Jose Caballero has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.6-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph mark. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 52.4%.

Jose Caballero logo

Jose Caballero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Jose Caballero has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 85.6-mph average to last year's 83.5-mph mark. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last year to this one, rising from 43.9% to 52.4%.

Jonathan Aranda Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jonathan Aranda
J. Aranda
first base 1B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Jonathan Aranda logo

Jonathan Aranda

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jonathan Aranda in the 90th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Jonathan Aranda is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Because of Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Jonathan Aranda will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.

Brandon Lowe Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Brandon Lowe
B. Lowe
second base 2B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Brandon Lowe logo

Brandon Lowe

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Given Joe Ryan's large platoon split, Brandon Lowe will have a gigantic advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.

Junior Caminero Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Junior Caminero
J. Caminero
third base 3B • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Junior Caminero logo

Junior Caminero

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today.

Trevor Larnach Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Trevor Larnach
T. Larnach
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's game.

Trevor Larnach logo

Trevor Larnach

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trevor Larnach in the 80th percentile when estimating his overall offensive ability. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's game.

Taylor Walls Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Taylor Walls
T. Walls
shortstop SS • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Taylor Walls's launch angle in recent games (36.8° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 15° seasonal mark. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 19.2%.

Taylor Walls logo

Taylor Walls

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Taylor Walls's launch angle in recent games (36.8° over the last 7 days) is quite a bit higher than his 15° seasonal mark. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, going from 15.8% to 19.2%.

Jake Mangum Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Jake Mangum
J. Mangum
left outfield LF • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball bats like Jake Mangum tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Jake Mangum logo

Jake Mangum

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

Jake Mangum's BABIP ability is projected in the 94th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Jake Mangum is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme groundball bats like Jake Mangum tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Joe Ryan.

Ty France Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Ty France
T. France
first base 1B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 49.3%.

Ty France logo

Ty France

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has gotten better from last season to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 49.3%.

Willi Castro Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Willi Castro
W. Castro
left outfield LF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Willi Castro's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Drew Rasmussen in this game.

Willi Castro logo

Willi Castro

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Willi Castro's BABIP skill is projected in the 80th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 52% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will get to bat from his strong side against Drew Rasmussen in this game.

Matt Thaiss Total Hits Props • Tampa Bay

Matt Thaiss
M. Thaiss
catcher C • Tampa Bay
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Matt Thaiss's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.34 ft/sec now.

Matt Thaiss logo

Matt Thaiss

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Matt Thaiss will have the handedness advantage over Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of every team in action today. Matt Thaiss's footspeed has gotten better this year. His 24.85 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last year sits at 25.34 ft/sec now.

Kody Clemens Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Kody Clemens
K. Clemens
second base 2B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kody Clemens's launch angle in recent games (34.4° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 18.3° seasonal figure.

Kody Clemens logo

Kody Clemens

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Kody Clemens will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and Kody Clemens will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Kody Clemens's launch angle in recent games (34.4° over the last 14 days) is quite a bit better than his 18.3° seasonal figure.

Royce Lewis Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Royce Lewis
R. Lewis
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Royce Lewis has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph EV.

Royce Lewis logo

Royce Lewis

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics across the board, and Royce Lewis will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Royce Lewis has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph EV.

Carlos Correa Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Carlos Correa
C. Correa
shortstop SS • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Carlos Correa logo

Carlos Correa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 90th percentile when estimating his batting average talent. Carlos Correa is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Carlos Correa will hold that advantage in today's game.

Matt Wallner Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Matt Wallner
M. Wallner
right outfield RF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.

Matt Wallner logo

Matt Wallner

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Matt Wallner will have the handedness advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup. Extreme groundball batters like Matt Wallner usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.

Brooks Lee Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Brooks Lee
B. Lee
third base 3B • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

Brooks Lee is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage today.

Brooks Lee logo

Brooks Lee

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

Brooks Lee is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The #10 park in the majors for boosting BABIP to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his better side (0) today against Drew Rasmussen. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Brooks Lee will hold that advantage today.

Byron Buxton Total Hits Props • Minnesota

Byron Buxton
B. Buxton
center outfield CF • Minnesota
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.

Byron Buxton logo

Byron Buxton

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Byron Buxton ranks in the 96th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Byron Buxton is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. The #10 stadium in baseball for boosting base hits to righties, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Target Field. Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude among all parks. High elevation generally leads to more offense. Extreme flyball bats like Byron Buxton are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Tampa Bay Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 funaki 7-3-0 +19280
2 pokersquirrel 2-7-1 +17755
3 kowalabear 8-2-0 +15775
4 vladislav1968 5-4-1 +15330
5 kenpitch 5-4-1 +13015
6 Smmiou07 7-2-1 +12845
7 adgadg222 5-4-1 +12550
8 Mexicali72 4-6-0 +11420
9 brandydump1 6-4-0 +11345
10 mm76ers 5-5-0 +11325
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Minnesota Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 Midway28 7-3-0 +18635
2 jetfan4340 8-2-0 +17385
3 wickpk 8-2-0 +17345
4 PMaeson 6-4-0 +16840
5 EiffelTower 7-3-0 +16625
6 swtknguy 2-8-0 +16515
7 faustobone 7-3-0 +16100
8 hobo 4-6-0 +15470
9 capt5189 5-4-1 +14360
10 Chrismano 6-4-0 +14322
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