St. Louis @ Chicago picks

In Matthew Liberatore's last outing, he allowed just three hits across six innings of shutout ball. However, he also walked five batters which is shocking when you consider that he has issued fewer than 1.5 walks in 14 of 16 starts this year. Liberatore is in the top fifth percentile in walk rate (4.5%) while the Cubs are 11th in walk rate (8.6%) against southpaws. There's a solid chance that Liberatore gets torched by a hard-hitting Cubs lineup but that could result in him getting the hook early and would be conducive to this prop cashing. 

The St. Louis Cardinals have 3 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Thomas Saggese, Nolan Gorman, Victor Scott II).. John Tumpane projects as a Pitchers Umpire and is anticipated to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.. Wrigley Field grades out as the #5 park in Major League Baseball for strikeouts, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Drew Pomeranz will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats in all categories.. Out of all starting pitchers, Drew Pomeranz's fastball spin rate of 2623 rpm is in the 99th percentile this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Michael Busch's launch angle recently (37.3° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 16.2° seasonal figure.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Thomas Saggese has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (89% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the lineup today.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Seiya Suzuki ranks as the 19th-best hitter in the league.. Seiya Suzuki is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The 4th-shallowest LF dimensions among all major league parks are found in Wrigley Field.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. The Chicago Cubs have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lars Nootbaar can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.. Lars Nootbaar has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.2-mph to 95.2-mph over the last 14 days.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nolan Gorman in the 97th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Nolan Gorman will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the duration of the game, since the bullpen of the Chicago Cubs only has 1 same-handed RP.

Nolan Arenado is penciled in 5th in the lineup in today's game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. This matchup is predicted to have the 14th-most favorable weather for pitching among all the games scheduled today.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Pomeranz throws from, Nolan Arenado will have an advantage in today's matchup.

According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Kyle Tucker ranks as the 7th-best batter in the majors.. Kyle Tucker is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in this game.. Built 599 feet above sea level, Wrigley Field has the 10th-highest altitude in the majors, which usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to more offense.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Michael Busch in the 92nd percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate at 91°.. The wind projects to be blowing out to CF at 12.7-mph in this game, the best of the day for batters.. Michael Busch will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Michael Busch's launch angle recently (37.3° in the last week's worth of games) is a significant increase over his 16.2° seasonal figure.