Bobby Witt Jr. o1.5 Total Bases (-120)
Witt has recorded 2+ total bases in six of his last eight ballgames, while he’s one of eight players in the majors with 10+ hits over the past week. He’ll be facing Diamondbacks right-hander Ryne Nelson, who’s putting together a decent season with a 3.61 ERA and a 1.02 WHIP. The right-handed Witt has hit more consistently vs. left-handed pitching (.343 BA vs. LHP; .282 BA vs. RHP), but he’s shown more pop against righties with a .493 slugging percentage (.478 SLG vs. LHP). It should also help Witt’s case that the Diamondbacks own the third-worst bullpen ERA in the majors (5.18), so once he gets through Nelson, he’ll have an even easier time getting on base.
The 3rd-deepest centerfield fences in the majors are found in Chase Field. The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.323) may lead us to conclude that Nick Loftin has had some very poor luck this year with his .242 actual wOBA. With a 1.58 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Nick Loftin has displayed impressive plate discipline, grading out in the 91st percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average skill. Maikel Garcia is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Extreme groundball batters like Maikel Garcia tend to be more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson.
The Chase Field roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -5° colder than the average outdoor game of the day — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Ryne Nelson throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. will have a tough matchup in today's matchup. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league's 3rd-deepest RF fences today. Extreme flyball bats like Bobby Witt Jr. tend to be less successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Ryne Nelson. The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense grades out as the best among every team playing today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. James McCann will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats. James McCann's speed has increased this year. His 25.15 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 25.7 ft/sec now. In terms of his batting average, James McCann has had some very poor luck since the start of last season. His .240 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .272.
When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is projected to bat 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Jonathan India's launch angle this season (17.2°) is a considerable increase over his 13.3° figure last year.
Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Vinnie Pasquantino will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson in today's game. Vinnie Pasquantino has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 92.6-mph.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Kyle Isbel will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryne Nelson today. Kyle Isbel has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 87.6-mph to 91.2-mph over the past 14 days.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Blaze Alexander in the 91st percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Extreme flyball hitters like Blaze Alexander generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Wacha. Home field advantage typically boosts batter metrics across the board, and Blaze Alexander will hold that advantage today.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. With a .313 BABIP since the start of last season, Freddy Fermin finds himself in the 77th percentile.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Ryne Nelson throws from, Jac Caglianone will have an advantage in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Jac Caglianone usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Ryne Nelson. Jac Caglianone's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved lately, increasing from 8.6% on the season to 25% in the last 7 days.
Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Salvador Perez has seen a sizeable improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 103.5-mph average over the past week to his seasonal figure of 91.9-mph. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.328) suggests that Salvador Perez has experienced some negative variance this year with his .285 actual wOBA.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Lourdes Gurriel Jr. in the 91st percentile when assessing his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics across the board, and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. will hold that advantage in today's game. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs in recent games; just compare his 94.7-mph average in the last week to his seasonal average of 92.1-mph.
When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Eugenio Suarez ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Eugenio Suarez is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the league for righty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics across the board, and Eugenio Suarez will hold that advantage today.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Ketel Marte ranks as the 11th-best hitter in the majors. Ketel Marte is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Ketel Marte will possess the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Geraldo Perdomo is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats in all categories, and Geraldo Perdomo will hold that advantage today. Geraldo Perdomo has made notable improvements with his Barrel% recently, upping his 5.9% seasonal rate to 13.2% in the last two weeks' worth of games.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Pavin Smith in the 75th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill. Pavin Smith is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Pavin Smith will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jake McCarthy in the 79th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Jake McCarthy will have an edge today. Extreme flyball bats like Jake McCarthy are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Michael Wacha.
The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Chase Field as the 2nd-best stadium in the game for lefty batting average. Built 1059 feet above sea level, Chase Field has the 2nd-highest elevation in MLB, which often leads to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Michael Wacha throws from, Alek Thomas will have an advantage in today's matchup. Extreme groundball hitters like Alek Thomas tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Michael Wacha. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Alek Thomas will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
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