Cincinnati @ Philadelphia Picks & Props

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 20th-best batter in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Matt McLain will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

TJ Friedl is penciled in 1st in the batting order in today's game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today. TJ Friedl has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 90.5-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. TJ Friedl has exhibited strong plate discipline this year, checking in at the 89th percentile with a 1.42 K/BB rate.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Spencer Steer will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Spencer Steer has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 86th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Noelvi Marte in the 76th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Considering Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Noelvi Marte will have a huge advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's matchup. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Bryce Harper will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Extreme flyball bats like Elly De La Cruz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Santiago Espinal will have a big advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish in this game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Despite posting a .261 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Santiago Espinal has experienced some negative variance given the .023 disparity between that mark and his estimated true talent wOBA of .284. Santiago Espinal has displayed good plate discipline this year, ranking in the 75th percentile with a 1.85 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) profiles Citizens Bank Park as the 9th-worst ballpark in MLB for RHB base hits. Built just 19 feet above sea level, Citizens Bank Park has one of the lowest elevations among all major league stadiums, which often leads to less offense. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 8.1-mph in this match-up, the 2nd-strongest of the day for mound aces. Trea Turner's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this season (6.7°) is a considerable dropoff from his 9.7° angle last year. Trea Turner's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined in recent games, going from 42.2% on the season to 23.8% in the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Alec Bohm in the 97th percentile when it comes to his batting average ability. Alec Bohm is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Alec Bohm will hold the platoon advantage over Andrew Abbott in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14% to 22.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Otto Kemp in the 92nd percentile when assessing his BABIP skill. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Otto Kemp will have the handedness advantage over Andrew Abbott today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Otto Kemp will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Edmundo Sosa in the 77th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Edmundo Sosa will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Edmundo Sosa will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Rece Hinds will hold the platoon advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Rece Hinds's speed has increased this season. His 29.19 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 29.65 ft/sec now. Rece Hinds has displayed some good exit velocity stats in recent games, averaging 101.7-mph on his flyballs in the past week.

Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Johan Rojas will have the upper hand in today's game. Extreme flyball batters like Johan Rojas usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Andrew Abbott. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Johan Rojas will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the worst out of all the teams on the slate today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Austin Hays will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today. Austin Hays has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 13.3% this year.