Cincinnati @ Philadelphia picks
Citizens Bank Park
CIN vs PHI Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases

Elly De La Cruz o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Extreme flyball bats like Elly De La Cruz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases

Matt McLain o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 93rd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Matt McLain will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases

Austin Hays o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Austin Hays will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the weakest among all the teams in action today.
Total Bases

J.T. Realmuto o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects J.T. Realmuto in the 90th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. J.T. Realmuto is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, J.T. Realmuto will have an advantage today.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter metrics in all categories, and J.T. Realmuto will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total Bases

Trea Turner o1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 10th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Trea Turner will have an edge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Trea Turner will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Nick Castellanos o1.5 Total Bases (+115)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Nick Castellanos will hold that advantage today.