Cincinnati @ Philadelphia picks

Abbott was brilliant in June, posting a 2.20 ERA across five starts. He’s cashed the Under in earned runs allowed in four consecutive appearances, giving up just one run in each of his last three outings. He held a very good San Diego Padres lineup to one run last time out in five innings of work. He’ll be up against another strong offense this afternoon as Abbott faces the Philadelphia Phillies. However, he’s had success versus Philadelphia in the past, limiting them to a .172 average across 29 at-bats. He’s pitched even better on the road as well, compiling a 1.42 ERA in six starts. He’ll dominate today. 

Kyle Schwarber projects as the 3rd-best home run hitter in the league, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Schwarber is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Kyle Schwarber will hold that advantage in today's game.

When estimating his BABIP skill, Elly De La Cruz is projected as the 3rd-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Extreme flyball bats like Elly De La Cruz tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jesus Luzardo.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

Bryce Harper projects as the 13th-best batter in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Bryce Harper is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card today.. Bryce Harper has a 94th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of MLB's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.. Bryce Harper will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Austin Hays is projected to bat 4th in the batting order in this game.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Austin Hays will have a huge advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in this game.. Austin Hays pulls a lot of his flyballs (34.3% — 83rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Austin Hays has made substantial improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.8% rate last year to 13.3% this year.

As it relates to his home run skill, Christian Encarnacion-Strand ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have a tremendous advantage hitting from the opposite side of the dish in today's matchup.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (33.5% — 77th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards baseball's 9th-shallowest LF fences in today's game.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 3rd-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand has made substantial gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 9.3% seasonal rate to 14.3% over the past week.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Castellanos in the 91st percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Nick Castellanos is penciled in 5th on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Batting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Nick Castellanos will have an edge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt McLain in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Matt McLain is penciled in 2nd in the lineup today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Because of Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Matt McLain will have a colossal advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate today.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 90th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Tyler Stephenson will have the handedness advantage over Jesus Luzardo in today's game... and even more favorably, Luzardo has a large platoon split.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Tyler Stephenson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 14% to 22.3%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Trea Turner as the 9th-best batter in MLB when estimating his batting average talent.. Trea Turner is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. Citizens Bank Park has the least fair ground among all stadiums — generally good for dingers.. Hitting from the opposite that Andrew Abbott throws from, Trea Turner will have an edge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense grades out as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams on the slate today.

Spencer Steer is projected to hit 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Given Jesus Luzardo's large platoon split, Spencer Steer will have a massive advantage batting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. Spencer Steer pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.4% — 93rd percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's 9th-shallowest LF fences today.. The Philadelphia Phillies infield defense projects as the 4th-weakest among all the teams in action today.. Spencer Steer has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 5.8% seasonal rate to 14.3% in the past week.