Tampa Bay @ Minnesota Picks & Props

Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Danny Jansen has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 88-mph to 93.8-mph over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 12th-best hitter in the league when estimating his batting average ability. Target Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Chris Paddack throws from, Chandler Simpson will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Among every team in action today, the 2nd-weakest infield defense belongs to the Minnesota Twins. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.257) suggests that Ha-seong Kim has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season with his .233 actual batting average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°.

Jake Mangum is penciled in 6th on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the plate, Jake Mangum will be less advantaged while batting from his worse side against Chris Paddack today. Jake Mangum hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 79th percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of MLB's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally lowers batter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Mangum in today's matchup. In terms of his batting average, Jake Mangum has had positive variance on his side this year. His .313 BA has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .251.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Willi Castro has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (54% of the time), but he is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°.

Ryan Jeffers is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Ryan Jeffers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.

Ty France's batting average skill is projected to be in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Ty France will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in MLB. Jonathan Aranda will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Jonathan Aranda has been lucky this year, notching a .384 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .339 — a .045 difference.

Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Harrison Bader will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 80th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Royce Lewis will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Target Field has the 10th-deepest CF fences in MLB. Zack Littell will hold the platoon advantage over Byron Buxton in today's matchup. Typically, hitters like Byron Buxton who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Zack Littell. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Byron Buxton has been lucky this year. His .371 mark has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .338.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order today. Target Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°.

Carlos Correa's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Carlos Correa is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Target Field grades out as the #10 venue in Major League Baseball for righty batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Matt Wallner in the 89th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Target Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. Batting from the opposite that Zack Littell throws from, Matt Wallner will have an edge in today's game.

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (59% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today. Target Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°. The switch-hitting Brooks Lee will get to bat from his good side (0) today against Zack Littell.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Brandon Lowe is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. Target Field ranks as the #10 ballpark in baseball for LHB batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Target Field sits at the 5th-highest altitude in the league. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer whiffs), and this game is predicted to have the 2nd-hottest weather of all games on the slate today at 93°.

Hitting from the same side that Chris Paddack throws from, Yandy Diaz faces a tough challenge in today's game. Yandy Diaz hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 93rd percentile) and will be challenged by the league's 10th-deepest CF fences in today's matchup. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup.

Josh Lowe has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.