Minnesota @ Miami picks
loanDepot park
MIN vs MIA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Trevor Larnach o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez today.. In the past week, Trevor Larnach's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph lately.. Trevor Larnach's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 49% on the season to 64.3% over the last 14 days.
Total RBIs

Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability.. Willi Castro is projected to hit 3rd in the lineup in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year.. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Eury Perez in today's matchup.. Posting a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Willi Castro is positioned in the 79th percentile.. Willi Castro has compiled a .348 BABIP this year, grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Total RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as the game's 11th-best home run batter.. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.. In the past week, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.2-mph over the course of the season to 103-mph of late.. Matt Wallner has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 24.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 29.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Matt Wallner has put up a .368 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 15th-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 94th percentile as it relates to his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will have the handedness advantage over David Festa in today's game.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats.. Kyle Stowers has made notable improvements with his Barrel%, bettering his 11% rate last season to 20.2% this year.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Wallner o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Matt Wallner as the game's 11th-best home run batter.. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Eury Perez in today's game.. In the past week, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.2-mph over the course of the season to 103-mph of late.. Matt Wallner has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 24.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure is a good deal lower than his 29.5 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.. Matt Wallner has put up a .368 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, checking in at the 93rd percentile.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Trevor Larnach o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+120)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card today.. Trevor Larnach will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Eury Perez today.. In the past week, Trevor Larnach's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 90.8-mph over the course of the season to 97.3-mph lately.. Trevor Larnach's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 49% on the season to 64.3% over the last 14 days.
Outs Recorded

David Festa u14.5 Outs Recorded (+136)
Projection 14.2 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, David Festa is projected to throw 78 pitches in this matchup by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the least on the slate.. Sean Barber grades out as a Hitters Umpire and is expected to be in charge of the strike zone in this game.. The #2 park in baseball for boosting walks, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park.. Given that groundball pitchers are least effective against flyball hitters, David Festa (33.8% GB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Miami's projected lineup.. Playing on the road generally weakens pitcher metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for David Festa today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Derek Hill o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Derek Hill in the 96th percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill.. Extreme groundball bats like Derek Hill tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like David Festa.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 15th-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Derek Hill will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Since the start of last season, Derek Hill's 11% Barrel%, an advanced stat for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+100)
Projection 2.1 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 89th percentile when assessing his overall offensive skill.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Batting from the opposite that David Festa throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an edge in today's matchup.. Out of all the teams on the slate today, the 15th-weakest infield defense is that of the Minnesota Twins.. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Jesus Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.