Chicago @ Los Angeles picks
Dodger Stadium
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JD Yonke
Betting Analyst
With Sean Burke taking the mound for bulk innings on behalf of the Chicago White Sox, the 6-foot-6 hurler whose 4.22 ERA looks decent on the surface also has underlying metrics (5.26 xERA and 4.97 xFIP) that are troubling. Among 116 starting pitchers who have thrown at least 60 innings, he ranks 94th in Stuff+ (92). He doesn’t exactly make up for it with his below-average command (99 Location+). Burke has notable reverse splits (.276/.328/.471 against righties) and has been hittable on the road (5.82 ERA and 5.46 FIP). Andy Pages is hitting .295 with a 138 wRC+ against RHP, so the platoon split is in his favor.
Strikeouts Thrown

Sean Burke u4.5 Strikeouts Thrown (-152)
Projection 3.5 (Under)
EV Model Rating
Taking into account both his underlying tendencies and the matchup, Sean Burke is projected to throw 76 pitches in today's outing by the leading projection system (THE BAT X) system, which is the 4th-least on the slate.. Dodger Stadium profiles as the #23 ballpark in baseball for strikeouts, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Playing on the road generally reduces pitcher stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Sean Burke in today's game.
Total RBIs

Miguel Vargas o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Miguel Vargas in the 87th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill.. Miguel Vargas is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best park in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Batting from the opposite that Clayton Kershaw throws from, Miguel Vargas will have an advantage in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Andrew Benintendi o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 84th percentile as it relates to his batting average talent.. Andrew Benintendi is projected to bat 4th in the lineup today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.
Total RBIs

Teoscar Hernandez o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When assessing his BABIP talent, Teoscar Hernandez is projected as the 18th-best hitter in the game by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best park in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Teoscar Hernandez will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.. Teoscar Hernandez has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 94.4-mph in the past 14 days.
Total RBIs

Michael Conforto o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Hitting from the opposite that Brandon Eisert throws from, Michael Conforto will have the upper hand in today's game.. Michael Conforto will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Freddie Freeman o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Freddie Freeman as the 14th-best hitter in baseball when assessing his batting average skill.. Freddie Freeman is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.
Total RBIs

Tommy Edman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tommy Edman in the 78th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Tommy Edman will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Mookie Betts o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Mookie Betts in the 95th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability.. Mookie Betts is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in this matchup.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best park in Major League Baseball for RHB home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Mookie Betts hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 9th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Max Muncy o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Max Muncy in the 96th percentile when assessing his home run skill.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.. Max Muncy will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Brandon Eisert today.. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Max Muncy will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Shohei Ohtani o0.5 Total RBIs (+100)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Shohei Ohtani projects as the 2nd-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Shohei Ohtani is projected to bat 1st in the batting order in this game.. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Dodger Stadium as the best stadium in the majors for left-handed home runs.. Dodger Stadium has the 9th-shallowest CF dimensions in the majors.. Dodger Stadium has the 2nd-lowest average fence height in MLB.