Houston @ Colorado Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Walker in the 12th percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Playing on the road typically reduces hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Christian Walker in today's matchup. Christian Walker has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 11.7% seasonal rate has fallen off to 5.4% over the last two weeks. Christian Walker's average exit velocity has dropped off lately; his 90.3-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 86.3-mph in the past week. Christian Walker's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off in recent games, decreasing from 14.3% on the season to 0% over the past 7 days.

Thairo Estrada is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 94th percentile when it comes to his batting average talent. Tyler Freeman is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 60% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today.

Brenton Doyle is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan Ritter in the 88th percentile when estimating his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Jose Altuve will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. Over the past 7 days, Jose Altuve's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.9% down to 0%. From last year to this one, Jose Altuve's ability to hit the ball at a launch angle that optimizes BABIP (-4° to 26°) has decreased substantially, plummeting from 45.8% to 39.9%. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.225) provides evidence that Jose Altuve has had some very good luck this year with his .257 actual batting average.

Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Jake Meyers in today's matchup. In the past two weeks, Jake Meyers's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.2% down to 0%. Jake Meyers's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined in recent games, going from 13.6% on the season to 7.3% over the past two weeks. As it relates to his batting average, Jake Meyers has been very fortunate this year. His .301 figure has been significantly inflated relative to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .286.

Ryan McMahon is penciled in 4th on the lineup card in today's game. Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isaac Paredes in the 3rd percentile when estimating his BABIP ability. Typically, batters like Isaac Paredes who hit a lot of flyballs tend to perform worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Austin Gomber. Playing on the road typically lowers batter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Isaac Paredes today. Over the past 14 days, Isaac Paredes's exit velocity on flyballs has dropped from his seasonal average of 90.3 mph to 80.1 mph. Isaac Paredes has been lucky this year, putting up a .356 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .327 — a .029 disparity.

Jordan Beck is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Yainer Diaz is projected to bat 6th in the lineup today. Yainer Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing on the road today. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Yainer Diaz's 2.4% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 13.8%. When it comes to plate discipline, Yainer Diaz's ability is quite bad, putting up a 5.27 K/BB rate this year while grading out in in the 9th percentile. Yainer Diaz has put up a .261 BABIP this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Hitting from the opposite that Hunter Brown throws from, Mickey Moniak will have an advantage today.

Hunter Goodman is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters.

Mauricio Dubon is penciled in 9th on the lineup card today. When starting against a left-handed starter since the start of last season, Mauricio Dubon has been pulled from the game early 11% of the time. Mauricio Dubon will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's matchup. Sporting a .241 BABIP this year, Mauricio Dubon grades out in the 5th percentile.

Coors Field profiles as the #1 stadium in the league for lefty batting average, via the leading projection system (THE BAT). Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Michael Toglia will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects Coors Field as the best ballpark in MLB for RHB batting average. Coors Field sits at the highest elevation in MLB. High elevation usually leads (as a rule of thumb) to better offense. This game is forecasted to have the 18th-most favorable conditions for pitching among all the games scheduled today. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this contest, the 2nd-most-favorable of the day for batters. The switch-hitting Cooper Hummel will have the advantage of batting from from his good side (0) today against Austin Gomber.