Minnesota @ Miami picks
loanDepot park
MIN vs MIA Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Kyle Stowers o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Kyle Stowers in the 93rd percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's matchup.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today.. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Eric Wagaman o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.. Eric Wagaman has experienced some negative variance in regards to his home runs this year; his 9.6 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is significantly deflated relative to his 14.4 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.
Total RBIs

Jesus Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams today.. Jesus Sanchez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.
Total RBIs

Willi Castro o0.5 Total RBIs (+195)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Willi Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Willi Castro is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side against Janson Junk in today's matchup.. Willi Castro has posted a .335 BABIP this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.
Outs Recorded

Janson Junk o15.5 Outs Recorded (+154)
Projection 15.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
In Major League Baseball, LoanDepot Park's right field dimensions are the 4th-deepest.. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense.. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching.. Janson Junk is an extreme flyball pitcher (34% FB% via the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #25 HR venue among all major league parks in this game.. Because flyball pitchers hold a significant advantage over flyball batters, Janson Junk and his 34% underlying FB% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT) finds himself in a favorable spot in today's outing going up against 2 opposing FB batters.
Total Bases

Royce Lewis o0.5 Total Bases (-185)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Royce Lewis in the 82nd percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Royce Lewis has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph figure.. When it comes to his batting average, Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .226 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255.. Royce Lewis is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.9% rate since the start of last season).. Grading out in the 81st percentile for power, Royce Lewis has paced 24.5 HRs per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Matt Wallner o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Matt Wallner projects as the 11th-best home run batter in Major League Baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today.. Matt Wallner has big-time power (98th percentile) if he makes contact, but that's never a guarantee (32.1% K%). Today, however, opposing pitcher Janson Junk is a pitch-to-contact type (5th percentile K%) — great news for Wallner.. Over the past week, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph recently.. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.1°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29° angle over the last 7 days.
Total Bases

Ryan Jeffers o0.5 Total Bases (-190)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks.. Ryan Jeffers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.3-mph in the last week.. Compared to last year, Ryan Jeffers has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.5% to 45.7% this season.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected HR per 600 plate appearances (20.5) implies that Ryan Jeffers has experienced some negative variance this year with his 13.9 actual HR/600.. Ryan Jeffers has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 80th percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate.
Total Bases

Trevor Larnach o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today.. Trevor Larnach has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph.. Trevor Larnach's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 49.4% on the season to 67.9% in the past 14 days.