Minnesota @ Miami Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Janson Junk will have the handedness advantage over Byron Buxton in today's game. Byron Buxton pulls many of his flyballs (42.1% — 99th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game.

The #7 ballpark in MLB for suppressing batting average to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is LoanDepot Park. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Xavier Edwards has a 98th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (40.7%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of baseball's 10th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Xavier Edwards's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls this year (5.7°) is considerably worse than his 10.8° figure last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks LoanDepot Park as the 7th-worst ballpark in baseball for right-handed batting average. Built just 6 feet above sea level, LoanDepot Park has one of the lowest altitudes among all major league parks, which tends to lead to worse offense. The LoanDepot Park roof projects to be closed today, making weather conditions in this contest -10° colder than the average outdoor game of all games on the slate today — favorable for pitching. Hitting from the same side that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Otto Lopez encounters a tough challenge in today's matchup. Otto Lopez has recorded a .272 BABIP this year, grading out in the 25th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ty France in the 85th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. Ty France's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, increasing from 41.6% to 49.8%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.346) provides evidence that Ty France has suffered from bad luck this year with his .307 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 88th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Jesus Sanchez is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Jesus Sanchez will have an advantage today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Jesus Sanchez will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.

Connor Norby's BABIP skill is projected in the 96th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Connor Norby will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. Connor Norby's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased of late, increasing from 48.4% on the season to 53.8% over the past two weeks.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Matt Wallner ranks in the 90th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Matt Wallner will hold the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today. Over the past week, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.1-mph over the course of the season to 103.2-mph recently. Compared to his seasonal average of 21.1°, Matt Wallner has significantly improved his launch angle recently, posting a 29° angle over the last 7 days. In terms of his batting average, Matt Wallner has had some very poor luck this year. His .200 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .224.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Royce Lewis ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Royce Lewis has seen a sizeable increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last year's 87.1-mph figure. When it comes to his batting average, Royce Lewis has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .226 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .255. Royce Lewis is in the 98th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34°, the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs (20.9% rate since the start of last season).

LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Ryan Jeffers has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.5-mph to 95.3-mph in the last week. Compared to last year, Ryan Jeffers has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 37.5% to 45.7% this season. In terms of his wOBA and overall offense, Ryan Jeffers has had bad variance on his side this year. His .319 rate falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .353. Ryan Jeffers has shown favorable plate discipline this year, ranking in the 80th percentile with a 1.67 K/BB rate.

Eric Wagaman hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 91st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the game's 6th-shallowest CF fences today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Eric Wagaman will benefit from the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Trevor Larnach is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Trevor Larnach will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Janson Junk today. Trevor Larnach has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 99.6-mph average over the past week to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph. Trevor Larnach's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased lately, going from 49.4% on the season to 67.9% in the past 14 days.

Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Liam Hicks will have an edge in today's game. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats across the board, and Liam Hicks will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Liam Hicks has put up a .346 wOBA (the best measure of overall offense) this year, grading out in the 80th percentile. Posting a 1.51 K/BB rate this year, Liam Hicks has displayed good plate discipline, ranking in the 88th percentile.

Brooks Lee has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this game. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Brooks Lee will have the advantage of batting from from his strong side against Janson Junk in this game. Brooks Lee has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 88.8-mph average to last season's 85.8-mph average. Over the past 7 days, Brooks Lee's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal average of 91.8 mph to 89.8 mph.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Carlos Correa in the 91st percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Carlos Correa is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today. LoanDepot Park has the 6th-shallowest CF fences among all major league parks. Carlos Correa has made notable improvements with his Barrel% of late, improving his 6.5% seasonal rate to 13.3% in the last week's worth of games. Carlos Correa has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 89.6-mph to 93.6-mph in the past 14 days.

Willi Castro's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Willi Castro is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 56% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year. As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will get to bat from his better side against Janson Junk in today's matchup. Willi Castro has posted a .335 BABIP this year, grading out in the 87th percentile.

Batting from the opposite that Janson Junk throws from, Kody Clemens will have the upper hand in today's game. Kody Clemens has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 93.3-mph to 96.8-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games. Over the past 7 days, Kody Clemens's 50% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 17.2%. When it comes to his batting average, Kody Clemens has had some very poor luck this year. His .203 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .241. Since the start of last season, Kody Clemens has an average exit velocity of 91.5 mph, which is one of the best in the majors at the 91st percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Dane Myers in the 97th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. Dane Myers hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (40.3% — 99th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 6th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Extreme flyball hitters like Dane Myers generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Simeon Woods Richard. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Dane Myers will hold that advantage in today's game.

Harrison Bader has gone over 0.5 in 7 of his last 10 games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Agustin Ramirez in the 76th percentile when assessing his batting average talent. Agustin Ramirez is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Agustin Ramirez will hold that advantage in today's game. Agustin Ramirez has made notable gains with his Barrel% lately, bettering his 11.3% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last two weeks' worth of games.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Hitting from the opposite that Simeon Woods Richard throws from, Kyle Stowers will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Minnesota Twins infield defense profiles as the 2nd-worst out of all the teams today. Kyle Stowers will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.