St. Louis @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Thomas Saggese in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Dingers are generally less common at ballparks with deep fences, and PNC Park has the 7th-deepest among all parks. Playing on the road generally lessens batter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Alec Burleson in today's game. Alec Burleson has had positive variance on his side thus far when it comes to with his wOBA this year; his .334 mark is a fair amount higher than his .309 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ke'Bryan Hayes in the 77th percentile as it relates to his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball hitters like Ke'Bryan Hayes usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sonny Gray. Ke'Bryan Hayes will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to boost all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Henry Davis will hold that advantage in today's game. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Henry Davis has suffered from bad luck this year. His .269 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .307. Henry Davis's 22.6° launch angle (an advanced metric to evaluate a hitter's ability to lift the ball for power) is one of the most flyball-inducing in the majors: 96th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Over the past week, Pedro Pages's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 89-mph over the course of the season to 98.8-mph of late.

The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Victor Scott II will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Keller in today's matchup. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Victor Scott II has made substantial strides with his Barrel% lately, upping his 4.5% seasonal rate to 11.1% in the last week's worth of games.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Tommy Pham usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sonny Gray. Home field advantage generally boosts batter stats across the board, and Tommy Pham will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Tommy Pham has made significant strides with his Barrel% in recent games, improving his 3.9% seasonal rate to 13.6% over the past 14 days.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Oneil Cruz ranks in the 95th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Oneil Cruz is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Oneil Cruz will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Sonny Gray today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jose Fermin in the 84th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today. Ranking in the 88th percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.9 ft/sec since the start of last season, Jose Fermin is quite athletic.

As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Lars Nootbaar is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.

Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Joey Bart in the 80th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Joey Bart will hold the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats. Compared to last year, Joey Bart has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 43.1% to 52% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

Spencer Horwitz is projected to bat 1st on the lineup card in this matchup. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Hitting from the opposite that Sonny Gray throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand today. Home field advantage typically bolsters hitter stats in all categories, and Spencer Horwitz will hold that advantage today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Masyn Winn in the 76th percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Masyn Winn is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Isiah Kiner-Falefa in the 87th percentile when assessing his batting average skill. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Extreme groundball bats like Isiah Kiner-Falefa generally hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Sonny Gray. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Isiah Kiner-Falefa will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game. The #4 ballpark in Major League Baseball for boosting base hits to lefties, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Sonny Gray.

Brendan Donovan has an 84th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 11th-deepest LF fences today. Playing on the road typically weakens hitter metrics across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which figures to be the case for Brendan Donovan today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willson Contreras in the 94th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Willson Contreras is projected to hit 4th on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense grades out as the 3rd-weakest out of every team on the slate today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) projects PNC Park as the 4th-best park in baseball for right-handed base hits. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's game.