St. Louis @ Pittsburgh picks
PNC Park
STL vs PIT Picks
MLB Picks
Total Bases
Nolan Gorman o1.5 Total Bases (+135)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +135
o1.5 +135
-
-
o1.5 +133
o1.5 +125
Nolan Gorman projects as the 18th-best home run batter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Nolan Gorman has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (79% of the time), but he is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Batting from the opposite that Mitch Keller throws from, Nolan Gorman will have an edge today.. Extreme flyball hitters like Nolan Gorman tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Mitch Keller.
Total Bases
Bryan Reynolds o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +135
o1.5 +145
-
-
o1.5 +133
o1.5 +130
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Bryan Reynolds in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP ability.. Bryan Reynolds is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in today's game.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The switch-hitting Bryan Reynolds will get to bat from his better side (0) today against Sonny Gray.. Bryan Reynolds will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should improve all of his stats.
Total Bases
Lars Nootbaar o1.5 Total Bases (+140)
Projection 1.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +140
o1.5 +140
-
-
o1.5 +133
o1.5 +125
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Lars Nootbaar ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Lars Nootbaar will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Mitch Keller today.. Lars Nootbaar has made significant improvements with his Barrel% lately, upping his 10.3% seasonal rate to 16.7% over the past 14 days.. Lars Nootbaar has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.3-mph to 97.4-mph in the past two weeks' worth of games.. Despite posting a .317 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Lars Nootbaar has suffered from bad luck given the .025 gap between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .342.
Total Bases
Andrew McCutchen o1.5 Total Bases (+160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
o1.5 +125
o1.5 +160
-
-
o1.5 +139
o1.5 +155
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive talent.. Andrew McCutchen is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in this game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude in Major League Baseball. High elevation tends to lead to better offense.. The weather forecast calls for temperatures in this game to reach the 5th-highest level of the day at 84°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. Home field advantage typically bolsters batter metrics across the board, and Andrew McCutchen will hold that advantage in today's game.
