Minnesota @ Miami picks

The Marlins are one of the hottest teams going, but we will fade them on Tuesday for a few reasons. They are returning home after a western road trip, which is a spot I love to play against. More importantly, the Twins will have the pitching advantage with Joe Ryan going up against Edward Cabrera. 

Matt Wallner projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Bats such as Matt Wallner with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Edward Cabrera who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Over the last 7 days, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.1-mph over the course of the season to 105.5-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 9th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Byron Buxton generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Byron Buxton has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.9% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.. In the past 14 days, Byron Buxton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph recently.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Willi Castro in the 78th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent.. Willi Castro is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 57% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Willi Castro will have the advantage of batting from from his better side against Edward Cabrera in today's game.. Willi Castro has compiled a .337 BABIP this year, placing in the 88th percentile.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Trevor Larnach ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Trevor Larnach is penciled in 2nd in the batting order in today's game.. Hitting from the opposite that Edward Cabrera throws from, Trevor Larnach will have an edge in today's game.. Trevor Larnach has seen a big increase in his exit velocity on flyballs recently; just compare his 99.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal average of 90.7-mph.. Trevor Larnach's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved recently, going from 49.6% on the season to 72.2% in the last week's worth of games.

As it relates to his home run skill, Kyle Stowers ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Kyle Stowers is projected to bat 5th in the batting order today.. Kyle Stowers will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's matchup... and moreover, Ryan has a large platoon split.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.. Kyle Stowers will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.

Matt Wallner projects as the 10th-best home run hitter in MLB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Matt Wallner is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.. Matt Wallner will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Edward Cabrera in today's matchup.. Bats such as Matt Wallner with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Edward Cabrera who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Over the last 7 days, Matt Wallner's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 98.1-mph over the course of the season to 105.5-mph lately.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Byron Buxton as baseball's 9th-best home run hitter.. Byron Buxton is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this matchup.. Extreme flyball batters like Byron Buxton generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Edward Cabrera.. Byron Buxton has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 14.9% seasonal rate to 20.5% over the last two weeks.. In the past 14 days, Byron Buxton's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 96.6-mph over the course of the season to 99.4-mph recently.

When assessing his home run skill, Royce Lewis ranks in the 81st percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Royce Lewis has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 91-mph average to last season's 87.1-mph EV.. Based on Statcast data, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected Batting Average (.255) may lead us to conclude that Royce Lewis has had some very poor luck since the start of last season with his .225 actual batting average.. Since the start of last season, Royce Lewis's 11.9% Barrel%, a reliable metric for measuring power, places him in the 81st percentile among his peers.. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to best-produce home runs), Royce Lewis and his 20.9% rank in the 98th percentile since the start of last season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jesus Sanchez in the 88th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability.. Jesus Sanchez is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup today.. Jesus Sanchez will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Joe Ryan in today's game... and even better, Ryan has a large platoon split.. Extreme flyball hitters like Jesus Sanchez tend to perform better against extreme groundball pitchers like Joe Ryan.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.

In Major League Baseball, LoanDepot Park's centerfield dimensions are the 6th-shallowest.. The Minnesota Twins infield defense grades out as the worst out of every team playing today.. Heriberto Hernandez will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Over the last 7 days, Heriberto Hernandez's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 10% up to 28.6%.. Heriberto Hernandez has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 96.6-mph in the last week's worth of games.