Athletics @ Tampa Bay picks
George M. Steinbrenner Field
ATH vs TB Picks
MLB Picks
Total

Jason Wilson
Publishing Editor
This is a nerve-wracking number for the Over because Rays SP Drew Rasmussen has a 2.45 ERA. Here's the deal, though. Whether it's because he's not far removed from a long-term injury or Tampa is really leaning into stopping him seeing opposing batting orders a third time, Rasmussen has a wildly short leash. He was pulled after five shutout innings in his last start after throwing just 62 pitches. The Rays will jump on A's pitching and the visitors will tap into their palpable thump to clear this.
Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+175)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 4th-lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge today.
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Jonathan Aranda will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to bolster all of his stats.. Over the past week, Jonathan Aranda's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 11.9% up to 25%.
Total RBIs

Shea Langeliers o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Shea Langeliers in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Shea Langeliers is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Yandy Diaz as the 7th-best batter in the game when it comes to his batting average ability.. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 1st on the lineup card today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Yandy Diaz will hold the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez today.
Total RBIs

Christopher Morel o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christopher Morel in the 97th percentile when assessing his home run ability.. Christopher Morel is projected to bat 4th in the batting order today.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Christopher Morel will have an edge in today's game.
Outs Recorded

Jacob Lopez u16.5 Outs Recorded (-122)
Projection 14.1 (Under)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jacob Lopez to throw 83 pitches today (3rd-least of all pitchers today), considering both his underlying tendencies and the matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The Tampa Bay Rays have 8 bats in the projected batting order that will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Jacob Lopez in this game.. Jacob Lopez is an extreme flyball pitcher (39.2% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and will be disadvantaged pitching in the #10 HR venue in the majors in this game.. Given that groundball pitchers are hit hardest by flyball hitters, Jacob Lopez (39.2% GB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this game with 3 FB hitters in Tampa Bay's projected lineup.
Total Bases

Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Drew Rasmussen.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Danny Jansen o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-165)
Projection 1.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the 2nd-lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Danny Jansen will have an edge today.. Danny Jansen will benefit from the home field advantage in today's game, which should bolster all of his stats.. Over the last 7 days, Danny Jansen's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.2% up to 12.5%.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Junior Caminero o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-125)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Junior Caminero in the 89th percentile when estimating his batting average skill.. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. George M. Steinbrenner Field has the shortest fence height (on average) in the majors.. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to drop to the lowest level of the day at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts).. Hitting from the opposite that Jacob Lopez throws from, Junior Caminero will have an edge today.