Cincinnati @ Boston picks
Fenway Park
CIN vs BOS Picks
MLB Picks
Strikeouts Thrown


Tony Sartori
Betting Analyst
Perhaps Crochet's greatest strength is his ability to rack up strikeouts. He ranks in the 82nd percentile in chase rate, 82nd percentile in whiff rate, and 91st percentile in strikeout rate. As a result, he's recorded nine or more Ks in four of his past six starts.
Total RBIs

Romy Gonzalez o0.5 Total RBIs (+230)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Romy Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Romy Gonzalez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chase Burns who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Total RBIs

Elly De La Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+210)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent.. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.
Total RBIs

Wilyer Abreu o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 94th percentile when it comes to his home run ability.. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Christian Encarnacion-Strand o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 88th percentile when estimating his home run talent.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have an advantage today.. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Romy Gonzalez o1.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (+110)
Projection 1.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Romy Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. A correlation exists between high heat and more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and this game is forecasted to have the 2nd-highest temperatures of all games on the slate today at 81°.. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.. Hitters such as Romy Gonzalez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chase Burns who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

David Hamilton o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-175)
Projection 1.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 5th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Batting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's game.. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Rece Hinds o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-160)
Projection 1.3 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability.. Fenway Park grades out as the #3 park in baseball for run-scoring, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).. The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park.. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 3rd-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Rece Hinds will have an edge today.