Cincinnati @ Boston Picks & Props

Fenway Park's elevation is near sea-level, one of the lowest in MLB, which often leads to less offense. Over the past 7 days, Jarren Duran's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 92.7 mph to 86 mph. Over the last 7 days, Jarren Duran's 8.3% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has taken a nosedive compared to his seasonal rate of 14.2%. Jarren Duran has exhibited bad plate discipline this year, placing in the 21st percentile with a 3.89 K/BB rate.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Christian Encarnacion-Strand in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Christian Encarnacion-Strand will have an advantage today. Christian Encarnacion-Strand hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.7% — 83rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today.

Romy Gonzalez's BABIP ability is projected in the 97th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Romy Gonzalez has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.7%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. Hitters such as Romy Gonzalez with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Chase Burns who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.

Roman Anthony's BABIP ability is projected in the 82nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Roman Anthony is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Roman Anthony will have the upper hand in today's game.

Austin Hays is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Austin Hays will have the upper hand in today's game. Austin Hays pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.6% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards MLB's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

TJ Friedl is projected to bat 1st in the batting order today. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. TJ Friedl pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.2% — 98th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Sporting a 1.42 K/BB rate this year, TJ Friedl has displayed good plate discipline, checking in at the 90th percentile.

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Marcelo Mayer will have an advantage in today's matchup. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Rece Hinds in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Rece Hinds will have an edge today.

Spencer Steer is penciled in 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Spencer Steer will have an advantage in today's matchup. Spencer Steer pulls many of his flyballs (36.5% — 93rd percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards the game's shallowest LF fences in today's matchup.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Trevor Story hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats in all categories, and Trevor Story will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Stephenson in the 89th percentile as it relates to his BABIP talent. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Tyler Stephenson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet in today's game. Tyler Stephenson has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game.

The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, David Hamilton will have an edge in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today.

Matt McLain's BABIP ability is projected in the 92nd percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Matt McLain is projected to bat 2nd in the batting order in this matchup. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Batting from the opposite that Garrett Crochet throws from, Matt McLain will have an advantage in today's game.

Abraham Toro is projected to hit 3rd on the lineup card in today's game, which would be an upgrade from his 55% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. Fenway Park has the shallowest RF dimensions among all stadiums. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today.

The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Santiago Espinal will hold the platoon advantage against Garrett Crochet today. Santiago Espinal has a 76th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.7%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB's 3rd-shallowest RF fences in today's game. In the last two weeks' worth of games, Santiago Espinal's 52.4% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 40.9%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ceddanne Rafaela in the 77th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Ceddanne Rafaela hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is fortunate to face the game's 3rd-shallowest CF fences in today's game. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Elly De La Cruz as the 2nd-best hitter in baseball when estimating his BABIP talent. Elly De La Cruz is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup today. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wilyer Abreu in the 90th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Wilyer Abreu is projected to hit 5th in the batting order today. The #4 venue in the majors for boosting batting average to LHB, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. Hitting from the opposite that Chase Burns throws from, Wilyer Abreu will have the upper hand today.

Carlos Narvaez has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this year (60% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order today. The #4 ballpark in the game for boosting batting average to right-handed hitters, per the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Fenway Park. The shallowest left field dimensions among all major league parks are found in Fenway Park. In terms of temperature and humidity, the weather report predicts for the 4th-most suitable hitting conditions of all games today. The Cincinnati Reds infield defense projects as the 14th-best among all the teams playing today.