Tampa Bay @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Gunnar Henderson has taken a step back with his Barrel% of late; his 6.8% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last 14 days. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off from last year to this one, decreasing from 14.1% to 8.7%. Gunnar Henderson has experienced some positive variance in regards to with his wOBA this year; his .344 rate is significantly inflated relative to his .325 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Jake Mangum has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.5%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the game's 3rd-deepest LF fences today. Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing away from home in today's matchup. In the past 14 days, Jake Mangum's exit velocity on flyballs has lowered from his seasonal EV of 91.4 mph to 79.2 mph. Jake Mangum's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has fallen off recently, going from 8.2% on the season to 0% in the last week's worth of games. In the past 14 days, Jake Mangum has recorded a mere a 0% Barrel%, indicating a decline in power ability.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Curtis Mead has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today. Curtis Mead's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 112.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile. Curtis Mead is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.5% rate since the start of last season).

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Gary Sanchez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season's 90-mph figure.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Coby Mayo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards MLB's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Coby Mayo tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Taj Bradley. Home field advantage generally improves batter metrics in all categories, and Coby Mayo will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Chandler Simpson as the 15th-best batter in MLB as it relates to his batting average skill. The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Chandler Simpson will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Dean Kremer today. Chandler Simpson hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.6% — 81st percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league's 4th-shallowest CF fences today.

Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dean Kremer.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ramon Laureano in the 75th percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage today.

The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Taylor Walls has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 92-mph average in the last 14 days to his seasonal 87.1-mph average. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has increased from last season to this one, increasing from 15.8% to 19.7%. Taylor Walls's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better recently, going from 19.7% on the season to 32% over the past 14 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 93rd percentile when estimating his batting average skill. Ryan O'Hearn is penciled in 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Ryan O'Hearn will have an edge today.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Danny Jansen has made big gains with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.4% seasonal rate to 12.5% in the last week's worth of games. Danny Jansen has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity recently; just compare his 96.4-mph average in the last week to his seasonal 87.6-mph EV. Compared to his seasonal average of 24.1°, Danny Jansen has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 28.3° figure in the past 14 days.

Hitting from the same side that Dean Kremer throws from, Yandy Diaz will be in a tough position in today's game. Playing on the road typically diminishes hitter stats in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Yandy Diaz in today's game. Yandy Diaz's exit velocity on flyballs has declined recently; his 93.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 83-mph over the last week. Yandy Diaz's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has dropped off of late, going from 11.8% on the season to 0% in the past week.

The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Cedric Mullins will hold the platoon advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game. Cedric Mullins pulls a lot of his flyballs (37% — 95th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball hitters like Cedric Mullins usually hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Taj Bradley.

When it comes to his overall offensive talent, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jackson Holliday in the 95th percentile when assessing his BABIP talent. Jackson Holliday is penciled in 1st in the batting order in this matchup. The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Jackson Holliday will have the handedness advantage against Taj Bradley in today's game.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 ballpark in MLB for right-handed batting average, per the leading projection system (THE BAT). Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Ramon Urias has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.8-mph.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game. The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Colton Cowser in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP talent. The #6 venue in MLB for boosting batting average to LHB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°. Batting from the opposite that Taj Bradley throws from, Colton Cowser will have an edge in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves batter metrics across the board, and Colton Cowser will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Lowe has gone over 1.5 in 0 of his last 10 games.