Tampa Bay @ Baltimore picks
Oriole Park at Camden Yards
TB vs BAL Picks
MLB Picks
Total RBIs

Gary Sanchez o0.5 Total RBIs (+225)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's matchup.. Gary Sanchez has made sizeable gains with his Barrel% lately, improving his 12.2% seasonal rate to 22.2% in the past week.. Gary Sanchez has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 93.7-mph average to last season's 90-mph figure.
Total RBIs

Yandy Diaz o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his batting average ability, Yandy Diaz is projected as the 7th-best hitter in Major League Baseball by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Yandy Diaz is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°.. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.7%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences in today's game.
Total RBIs

Brandon Lowe o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Brandon Lowe in the 90th percentile when assessing his home run talent.. Brandon Lowe is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Hitting from the opposite that Dean Kremer throws from, Brandon Lowe will have an edge in today's matchup.
Total RBIs

Junior Caminero o0.5 Total RBIs (+155)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dean Kremer.
Total RBIs

Ramon Laureano o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his home run talent, Ramon Laureano ranks in the 82nd percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Ramon Laureano is penciled in 5th on the lineup card in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage today.
Total RBIs

Ramon Urias o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Ramon Urias is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card today, which would be an upgrade from his 64% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage in today's matchup, which figures to bolster all of his stats.. Ramon Urias has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs of late; just compare his 95.5-mph average over the past two weeks to his seasonal mark of 92.8-mph.
Total RBIs

Curtis Mead o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°.. Curtis Mead has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's shallowest RF fences today.. Curtis Mead's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 112.4 mph since the start of last season, checking in at the 82nd percentile.. Curtis Mead is in the 89th percentile when it comes to hitting balls between -4° and 26°, the launch angle range that tends to result the most in base hits (48.5% rate since the start of last season).
Total RBIs

Jonathan Aranda o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Jonathan Aranda ranks in the 91st percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Jonathan Aranda is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 2nd-hottest weather of the day at 91°.
Total RBIs

Gunnar Henderson o0.5 Total RBIs (+130)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Gunnar Henderson ranks in the 97th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Gunnar Henderson is penciled in 3rd in the batting order in today's game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards ranks as the #5 stadium in the league for overall left-handed offense, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).. In MLB, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF dimensions are the shallowest.. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 3rd-hottest weather of the day at 88°.
Total Bases

Junior Caminero o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Projection 2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Junior Caminero's batting average skill is projected to be in the 90th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Junior Caminero is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this game.. Oriole Park at Camden Yards grades out as the #5 ballpark in the league for overall RHB offense, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).. Hot weather is strongly correlated with more offense (and fewer strikeouts), and the weather report predicts the 4th-hottest weather of the day at 88°.. Extreme groundball hitters like Junior Caminero are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Dean Kremer.