San Francisco @ Chicago Picks & Props

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Josh Rojas will possess the home field advantage in today's game, which figures to improve all of his stats. Josh Rojas has made substantial strides with his Barrel% recently, improving his 2.4% seasonal rate to 28.6% in the last week. Josh Rojas's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved in recent games, going from 16.5% on the season to 28.6% in the past week's worth of games.

When assessing his overall offensive talent, Christian Koss ranks in the 20th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). This year, Christian Koss has been lifted for a pinch-hitter in 13% of his appearances when starting against right-handed starter. The #8 field in the majors for suppressing BABIP to righties, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Guaranteed Rate Field. The wind projects to be blowing in from LF at 10.4-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for pitchers. Adrian Houser will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Christian Koss in today's game.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Vinny Capra will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's matchup. Vinny Capra will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which should improve all of his stats. As it relates to his wOBA and overall offense, Vinny Capra has had bad variance on his side this year. His .139 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .241.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Miguel Vargas ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Miguel Vargas is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Miguel Vargas will hold the platoon advantage over Robbie Ray today.

Wilmer Flores is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Wilmer Flores pulls a lot of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 5th-shallowest LF fences in today's matchup. Extreme flyball batters like Wilmer Flores are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Compared to his seasonal average of 17.5°, Wilmer Flores has significantly improved his launch angle of late, posting a 31.5° mark in the last two weeks.

As it relates to his overall offensive skill, Willy Adames ranks in the 87th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Willy Adames is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Extreme groundball bats like Willy Adames usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Jung Hoo Lee in the 95th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Batting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Jung Hoo Lee will have an advantage in today's game. When it comes to his batting average, Jung Hoo Lee has experienced some negative variance this year. His .248 mark falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .281.

Edgar Quero's batting average talent is projected to be in the 76th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Edgar Quero is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Edgar Quero will have the advantage of batting from from his good side against Robbie Ray today. Edgar Quero has an 89th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences today.

Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is stronger from the 0 side of the dish, Patrick Bailey will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his better side against Adrian Houser in this game. In the last two weeks, Patrick Bailey's exit velocity on flyballs has seen a big rise, from 91.4-mph over the course of the season to 102.8-mph lately. Patrick Bailey has been unlucky this year, posting a .242 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .283 — a .041 discrepancy.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew Benintendi in the 85th percentile when estimating his batting average ability. Andrew Benintendi is penciled in 4th on the lineup card today. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Home field advantage typically bolsters batter stats in all categories, and Andrew Benintendi will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Heliot Ramos in the 91st percentile when it comes to his overall offensive skill. Heliot Ramos is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this matchup. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Heliot Ramos has a 91st percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Heliot Ramos has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.8-mph average in the past week to his seasonal 90.7-mph EV.

Dominic Smith is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Dominic Smith will have the upper hand in today's matchup. In the past two weeks' worth of games, Dominic Smith's average launch angle on his hardest-hit balls (10.8°) has significantly dropped compared to his seasonal mark of 17°.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Mike Yastrzemski will have an edge today. Mike Yastrzemski pulls a lot of his flyballs (35% — 88th percentile) and will have a big advantage hitting them towards the league's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Mike Yastrzemski are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Adrian Houser. Mike Yastrzemski has made big improvements with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 8.7% seasonal rate to 15.4% over the past 7 days.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Austin Slater as the 9th-best hitter in the majors when it comes to his BABIP ability. Austin Slater is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Austin Slater will have the handedness advantage against Robbie Ray today. Austin Slater has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Chase Meidroth's batting average ability is projected to be in the 77th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Chase Meidroth is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Robbie Ray throws from, Chase Meidroth will have an advantage today. Chase Meidroth has an 88th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.6%) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting them towards MLB's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.

Casey Schmitt is projected to bat 5th in the lineup today, which would be an upgrade from his 86% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this year. Guaranteed Rate Field has the 3rd-least fair ground in Major League Baseball — generally good for homers. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Casey Schmitt has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 95.5-mph over the last 7 days. Casey Schmitt has seen a notable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.6-mph average to last season's 94.3-mph average.

Rafael Devers projects as the 16th-best hitter in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Rafael Devers is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in today's game. The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Adrian Houser throws from, Rafael Devers will have the upper hand in today's matchup. Rafael Devers has an 85th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Andrew Knizner has a 77th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.8%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards baseball's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Andrew Knizner has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA since the start of last season; his .171 mark is quite a bit lower than his .246 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Brett Wisely will have the handedness advantage over Adrian Houser today. Brett Wisely has an 80th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (34.2%) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting them in the direction of the league's 5th-shallowest LF fences today.

The weather report predicts temperatures in this contest to drop to the 4th-lowest level of all games on the slate at 81°, which is highly linked to an decrease in offense (and an increase in strikeouts). Lenyn Sosa will receive the benefit of the platoon advantage against Robbie Ray in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36%) and will have a big advantage hitting them out towards the game's 9th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup. Home field advantage typically boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Lenyn Sosa will hold that advantage in today's game. Lenyn Sosa has made sizeable improvements with his Barrel% of late, upping his 7.7% seasonal rate to 19% over the last two weeks.

Kyle Teel has gone over 0.5 in 6 of his last 10 games.

Mike Tauchman has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.