Seattle @ Texas Picks & Props

Batting from the opposite that Nathan Eovaldi throws from, Cole Young will have an edge today. Cole Young has been unlucky this year, posting a .246 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .299 — a .053 difference.

When estimating his overall offensive ability, Randy Arozarena ranks in the 93rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Randy Arozarena is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Ranked in the 87th percentile, Randy Arozarena has one of the highest average exit velocities in the game this year (91.9-mph). With a .347 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Randy Arozarena grades out in the 78th percentile. With a .335 BABIP this year, Randy Arozarena is ranked in the 85th percentile.

Jonah Heim will benefit from the home field advantage today, which figures to bolster all of his stats. Jonah Heim has made substantial strides with his Barrel% in recent games, bettering his 6.4% seasonal rate to 13.3% over the last 7 days. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has gotten better from last season to this one, going from 11.1% to 15.3%.

Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this game. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Josh Smith will have an edge today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Josh Smith can likely count on never facing a bullpen mismatch all game. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Josh Smith will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Over the past 14 days, Josh Smith's 23.1% rate of hitting balls at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 14%.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, J.P. Crawford ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). J.P. Crawford is projected to hit 1st on the lineup card today. J.P. Crawford will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. J.P. Crawford's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 16.6% to 20.4%. Using Statcast data, J.P. Crawford is in the 85th percentile for offensive skills according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (xwOBA) this year at .350.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Julio Rodriguez as the 9th-best hitter in baseball as it relates to his batting average skill. Julio Rodriguez is penciled in 2nd in the lineup in today's game. In the last 14 days, Julio Rodriguez has significantly improved the launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls: 20° compared to his seasonal mark of 9.2°. Julio Rodriguez has been unlucky this year, notching a .310 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .358 — a .048 discrepancy. Julio Rodriguez's maximum exit velocity (a reliable stat to study power) has been 114.7 mph this year, placing in the 91st percentile.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Evan Carter ranks in the 80th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Evan Carter will hold the platoon advantage against Logan Gilbert today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Evan Carter has a strong chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game. Evan Carter will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should boost all of his stats. Compared to last year, Evan Carter has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for home runs, increasing his percentage of balls hit between 23° and 34° from 16.7% to 22.5% this season.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Donovan Solano in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. With a .343 BABIP since the start of last season, Donovan Solano grades out in the 96th percentile.

Dominic Canzone will hold the platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Dominic Canzone has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity this season; just compare his 92.1-mph average to last year's 89.9-mph figure. As it relates to his batting average, Dominic Canzone has suffered from bad luck since the start of last season. His .213 BA falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected Batting Average (xBA) at .239.

Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have the upper hand in today's matchup. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Alejandro Osuna can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Home field advantage typically boosts batter stats across the board, and Alejandro Osuna will hold that advantage today. Alejandro Osuna is quite athletic, checking in at the 83rd percentile in Sprint Speed at 28.58 ft/sec this year.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 80th percentile when estimating his BABIP talent. Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 2nd in the lineup in today's game. Sam Haggerty will possess the home field advantage today, which ought to bolster all of his stats. In the last two weeks, Sam Haggerty's 25% rate of hitting balls at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 22%. Sam Haggerty's quickness has gotten better this year. His 27.78 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 28.71 ft/sec now.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cal Raleigh in the 95th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive skill. Cal Raleigh is projected to bat 3rd on the lineup card in this game. Batters such as Cal Raleigh with extreme groundball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi who skew towards the flyball end of the spectrum. Cal Raleigh has seen a significant increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 97.7-mph average to last year's 94.9-mph figure. Cal Raleigh's ability to hit the ball at a HR-maximizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has improved from last season to this one, rising from 17.6% to 21.4%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 83rd percentile when it comes to his overall offensive ability. Adolis Garcia is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Adolis Garcia will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Adolis Garcia's average exit velocity has risen significantly from last season to this one, averaging 93.3-mph now compared to just 91-mph then. Adolis Garcia's launch angle this year (20.5°) is significantly better than his 14.8° angle last season.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Luke Raley ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Luke Raley will have the handedness advantage against Nathan Eovaldi in today's game. Compared to last season, Luke Raley has improved his ability to hit the ball at a launch angle ideal for base hits, increasing his percentage of balls hit between -4° and 26° from 39.8% to 47.5% this season. Over the last week, Luke Raley's 54.5% rate of hitting balls at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 47.5%. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.382) implies that Luke Raley has been unlucky this year with his .334 actual wOBA.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP ability. Josh Jung will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which ought to boost all of his stats. When it comes to his wOBA and overall offense, Josh Jung has been unlucky this year. His .296 figure falls considerably below the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Statcast-based Expected wOBA (xwOBA) at .319. When it comes to hitting balls between 23° and 34° (the launch angle range that tends to result the most in home runs), Josh Jung and his 19.7% rank in the 91st percentile this year.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is projected to bat 3rd in the batting order in today's game. Batting from the opposite that Logan Gilbert throws from, Corey Seager will have an edge today. The Seattle Mariners have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager has a strong chance of never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game. Corey Seager will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which ought to improve all of his stats.

Jorge Polanco is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Extreme groundball bats like Jorge Polanco tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi. In the past week's worth of games, Jorge Polanco's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 9.6% up to 15.4%. Jorge Polanco has seen a big gain in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 90.6-mph average to last season's 88.3-mph average. Compared to his seasonal average of 14.6°, Jorge Polanco has significantly improved his launch angle in recent games, posting a 21.1° mark over the past 14 days.

When estimating his overall offensive skill, Marcus Semien ranks in the 83rd percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in today's game. Home field advantage generally improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Marcus Semien will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Marcus Semien has suffered from bad luck when it comes to his wOBA this year; his .288 mark is considerably lower than his .326 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data. In terms of the ability to lift the ball for power, Marcus Semien ranks in the 89th percentile with a 19.3° launch angle, which is among the steepest angles in the majors.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Benjamin Williamson in the 92nd percentile as it relates to his BABIP skill. Grading out in the 93rd percentile, Benjamin Williamson sports a .351 BABIP this year.