Athletics @ New York picks
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ATH vs NYY Picks
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Total Strikeouts

Pick made: 6 days ago

Chris Hatfield
Betting Analyst
Lawrence Butler faced Will Warren, the exciting young New York Yankees pitcher who will take the mound this evening, earlier this year and finished with just one strikeout. But he was lucky. Butler faced three two strikes at-bats in all three of his at-bats during that one and saw just one sweeper. I suspect that the last part will change here because the data has changed on that pitch for both parties involved. Since that matchup, Warren's sweeper has become much more deadly and effective. He'll come into this game with that pitch being utilized as a put-out pitch around 18% of the time and producing an impressive whiff rate of 33%.
Total RBIs

JJ Bleday o0.5 Total RBIs (+280)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Considering Will Warren's large platoon split, JJ Bleday will have a colossal advantage hitting from the opposite side of the plate in today's game.. JJ Bleday is likely to have an edge against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees only has 1 same-handed RP.. Bats such as JJ Bleday with extreme flyball tendencies are usually more effective when facing pitchers like Will Warren who skew towards the groundball end of the spectrum.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

Lawrence Butler o0.5 Total RBIs (+240)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
When estimating his home run talent, Lawrence Butler ranks in the 85th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Lawrence Butler is penciled in 1st on the lineup card in today's game.. Lawrence Butler will have the handedness advantage against Will Warren in today's game... and moreover, Warren has a large platoon split.. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Lawrence Butler can likely count on holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

Brent Rooker o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. In the past week, Brent Rooker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.2% up to 20%.
Total RBIs

Nick Kurtz o0.5 Total RBIs (+190)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nicholas Kurtz in the 95th percentile when it comes to his home run skill.. Nicholas Kurtz is penciled in 4th in the batting order today, which would be an upgrade from his 79% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.. Given Will Warren's large platoon split, Nicholas Kurtz will have a tremendous advantage batting from the opposite side of the dish today.. Nicholas Kurtz is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the New York Yankees has just 1 same-handed RP.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

Tyler Soderstrom o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
EV Model Rating
As it relates to his overall offensive ability, Tyler Soderstrom ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. Tyler Soderstrom is penciled in 5th in the lineup in this matchup.. Tyler Soderstrom will have the handedness advantage over Will Warren today... and the cherry on top, Warren has a large platoon split.. The New York Yankees have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Soderstrom stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
Total RBIs

Cody Bellinger o0.5 Total RBIs (+160)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
EV Model Rating
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Cody Bellinger in the 81st percentile when it comes to his batting average talent.. Cody Bellinger is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today.. Cody Bellinger will have the handedness advantage over Mitch Spence in today's game.. Cody Bellinger pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (34.1% — 81st percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards baseball's 7th-shallowest RF fences in today's matchup.. Extreme groundball bats like Cody Bellinger usually hit better against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Spence.
Total RBIs

Aaron Judge o0.5 Total RBIs (-105)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Aaron Judge are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Spence.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Total Bases

Brent Rooker o1.5 Total Bases (+145)
Projection 1.8 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Brent Rooker ranks as the 14th-best hitter in the league.. Brent Rooker is projected to bat 3rd in the lineup in this game.. Extreme flyball hitters like Brent Rooker are generally more successful against extreme groundball pitchers like Will Warren.. Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.. In the past week, Brent Rooker's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 14.2% up to 20%.
Total Bases

Aaron Judge o1.5 Total Bases (-115)
Projection 2.4 (Over)
EV Model Rating
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Aaron Judge ranks as the best batter in MLB.. Aaron Judge is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in today's game.. Extreme groundball bats like Aaron Judge are generally more successful against extreme flyball pitchers like Mitch Spence.. Among all the teams on the slate today, the weakest outfield defense is that of the Athletics.. Aaron Judge will have the benefit of the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to boost all of his stats.
Hits, Runs, and RBIs

Max Schuemann o0.5 Hits, Runs, and RBIs (-120)
Projection 1.2 (Over)
EV Model Rating
Among every team playing today, the 4th-weakest outfield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.