Tampa Bay @ Kansas City Picks & Props

The deepest RF dimensions in MLB are found in Kauffman Stadium. Playing on the road generally lowers hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Jonathan Aranda today. Jonathan Aranda has been lucky this year, posting a .394 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .334 — a .060 gap.

When estimating his overall offensive talent, Christopher Morel ranks in the 86th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Christopher Morel is projected to hit 5th in the batting order in this matchup. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

In today's matchup, Jake Mangum is at a disadvantage facing the league's 4th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.1% rate (90th percentile). Jake Mangum will be at a disadvantage playing on the road in today's game. Jake Mangum's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 91.4-mph seasonal average has fallen off to 79.2-mph in the last two weeks' worth of games. Jake Mangum's average launch angle on his highest exit velocity balls lately (0.4° over the past 7 days) is considerably lower than his 6.1° seasonal figure. Jake Mangum has been cold lately, compiling a 0% Barrel% (a reliable stat to study power) over the last 14 days.

Batting from the same side that Drew Rasmussen throws from, Bobby Witt Jr. faces a tough challenge in today's game. Bobby Witt Jr. has an 86th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (35.1%) but may find it hard to clear the game's deepest RF fences in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Jose Caballero's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has increased from last year to this one, going from 43.9% to 50.9%.

Michael Wacha will hold the platoon advantage against Junior Caminero today. Junior Caminero pulls many of his flyballs (34.2% — 83rd percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the league's 4th-deepest LF fences in today's game. Playing on the road generally lessens hitter stats across the board due to the lack of home field advantage, which ought to be the case for Junior Caminero today. Based on Statcast metrics, the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s version of Expected wOBA (.331) may lead us to conclude that Junior Caminero has had some very good luck this year with his .352 actual wOBA. Junior Caminero has put up a .258 BABIP this year, grading out in the 16th percentile.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Danny Jansen has seen a notable increase in his exit velocity in recent games; just compare his 91.7-mph average in the last 7 days to his seasonal 87.2-mph EV.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for LHB BABIP. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Kyle Isbel will hold the platoon advantage over Drew Rasmussen in today's matchup.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Maikel Garcia in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. Maikel Garcia is penciled in 3rd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for LHB BABIP. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Taylor Walls has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 86.9-mph to 94.4-mph in the last week.

Michael Wacha will have the handedness advantage against Yandy Diaz today. Yandy Diaz has a 99th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (41.9%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's deepest RF fences in today's game. Yandy Diaz will be at a disadvantage playing as a visiting player in today's matchup.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Jonathan India ranks in the 89th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Jonathan India is penciled in 1st in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Salvador Perez is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics across the board, and Freddy Fermin will hold that advantage in today's matchup.

Vinnie Pasquantino is projected to hit 4th in the lineup today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for LHB BABIP. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best field in MLB for right-handed base hits. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Nick Loftin will have the benefit of the home field advantage today, which figures to improve all of his stats.

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for LHB BABIP. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Jac Caglianone will hold the platoon advantage against Drew Rasmussen today.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Drew Waters in the 88th percentile as it relates to his BABIP ability. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for LHB BABIP. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats.

When assessing his overall offensive ability, Brandon Lowe ranks in the 88th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Brandon Lowe is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card today. The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for LHB BABIP. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

The leading projection system (THE BAT) ranks Kauffman Stadium as the 8th-best ballpark in the game for LHB BABIP. Built 886 feet above sea level, Kauffman Stadium has the 4th-highest altitude in the majors, which often leads to higher offensive output. The weather report expects temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of all games on the slate today at 90°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 12.7-mph in this contest, the strongest of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Drew Rasmussen throws from, John Rave will have an advantage in today's matchup.

Josh Lowe has gone over 0.5 in 4 of his last 10 games.