Texas @ Baltimore Picks & Props

Batting from the same side that Jake Latz throws from, Jackson Holliday will have a disadvantage in today's matchup. In today's game, Jackson Holliday is at a disadvantage facing the league's 3rd-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 36.4% rate (92nd percentile). Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Jackson Holliday is an extreme groundball hitter and faces the strong infield defense of Texas (#1-best of all teams on the slate). As it relates to plate discipline, Jackson Holliday's skill is quite bad, sporting a 4.35 K/BB rate this year while checking in at in the 13th percentile.

Batting from the same side that Jake Latz throws from, Gunnar Henderson will not have the upper hand in today's matchup. Gunnar Henderson has a 75th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (33.6%) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards baseball's 3rd-deepest LF fences in today's game. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. In the last 14 days, Gunnar Henderson's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7% down to 0%. Gunnar Henderson's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has decreased from last season to this one, falling from 14.1% to 8.5%.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards has the 3rd-deepest left field fences in the majors. Out of all the teams playing today, the strongest infield defense is that of the Texas Rangers. Jordan Westburg's launch angle recently (4.1° in the last 14 days) is quite a bit lower than his 11.4° seasonal angle. Jordan Westburg's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has fallen off from last season to this one, decreasing from 48.4% to 42.6%. With a 4.16 K/BB rate since the start of last season, Jordan Westburg has displayed weak plate discipline, checking in at the 15th percentile.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). As a switch-hitter who is best from the 0 side of the plate, Dylan Carlson will hold the platoon advantage while batting from from his good side against Jake Latz in today's matchup. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats in all categories, and Dylan Carlson will hold that advantage today. In the past week's worth of games, Dylan Carlson's Barrel% has experienced a surge, jumping from his seasonal rate of 7.7% up to 18.2%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Ryan O'Hearn in the 94th percentile as it relates to his batting average ability. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Home field advantage generally boosts hitter stats across the board, and Ryan O'Hearn will hold that advantage in today's matchup. Ryan O'Hearn's ability to hit the ball at a base hit-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, going from 40.8% to 48.9%.

Jonah Heim is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this season. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Jonah Heim hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (38.9% — 86th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Jonah Heim's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has improved from last year to this one, rising from 38.4% to 44%.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Evan Carter in the 84th percentile when estimating his overall offensive talent. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Evan Carter will have the upper hand in today's game. Evan Carter hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 85th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he'll be hitting towards baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game.

When it comes to his overall offensive ability, Josh Smith ranks in the 75th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Josh Smith is projected to hit 1st in the lineup today. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Smith will have the handedness advantage against Charlie Morton in today's matchup.

As it relates to his overall offensive talent, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 84th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). Adolis Garcia is penciled in 5th in the batting order in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Adolis Garcia has seen a big increase in his exit velocity this year; just compare his 93.2-mph average to last year's 91-mph average.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive talent. Wyatt Langford is projected to hit 2nd on the lineup card in this game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Wyatt Langford has been unlucky this year, compiling a .321 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .357 — a .036 gap.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Kyle Higashioka has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.3-mph to 95.5-mph in the past two weeks. In the past two weeks, Kyle Higashioka's 56.3% rate of hitting balls at a BABIP-optimizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) shows big improvement over his seasonal rate of 42.1%. Kyle Higashioka has been unlucky in regards to his wOBA this year; his .260 figure is considerably lower than his .287 Expected wOBA, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)'s interpretation of Statcast data.

Gary Sanchez has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this season (81% of the time), but he is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Gary Sanchez will have the handedness advantage against Jake Latz in today's game. Home field advantage typically improves hitter metrics in all categories, and Gary Sanchez will hold that advantage in today's game.

Corey Seager projects as the 12th-best hitter in baseball, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Corey Seager is penciled in 3rd in the lineup in this game. The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. Among all major league stadiums, Oriole Park at Camden Yards's RF fences are the shallowest. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Josh Jung's BABIP talent is projected in the 89th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Josh Jung hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's matchup. Josh Jung's average launch angle on his hardest-contacted balls recently (20.3° over the past two weeks) is quite a bit better than his 14.7° seasonal mark.

Ramon Laureano is projected to hit 2nd in the batting order today. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Jake Latz throws from, Ramon Laureano will have an advantage in today's game. Home field advantage generally bolsters hitter metrics in all categories, and Ramon Laureano will hold that advantage in today's game.

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 83rd percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the lineup in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Marcus Semien's launch angle this year (19.9°) is quite a bit higher than his 16.7° figure last season.

The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Cedric Mullins pulls many of his flyballs (36.7% — 94th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB's shallowest RF fences today. Home field advantage generally boosts hitter metrics in all categories, and Cedric Mullins will hold that advantage today. There has been a significant improvement in Cedric Mullins's launch angle from last year's 21.5° to 25° this year.

The #6 field in Major League Baseball for boosting batting average to left-handed batters, via the leading projection system (THE BAT), is Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Charlie Morton throws from, Alejandro Osuna will have an edge in today's matchup. Alejandro Osuna hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (38.4% — 75th percentile) and sets up very well considering he'll be hitting out towards the game's 4th-shallowest CF fences today. Ranking in the 83rd percentile for Sprint Speed at 28.55 ft/sec this year, Alejandro Osuna is very athletic.

Ramon Urias is projected to hit 5th on the lineup card in today's game. Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Hitting from the opposite that Jake Latz throws from, Ramon Urias will have the upper hand today. Ramon Urias will hold the home field advantage in today's game, which ought to bolster all of his stats.

Oriole Park at Camden Yards profiles as the #6 venue in the majors for right-handed batting average, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). The weather report predicts temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 95°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). Coby Mayo will hold the platoon advantage against Jake Latz in today's matchup. Coby Mayo hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 89th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball's 4th-shallowest CF fences in today's game. Coby Mayo will hold the home field advantage today, which should boost all of his stats.