Texas @ Pittsburgh Picks & Props

TEX vs PIT Picks

MLB Picks
Total Bases
Adolis Garcia logo Adolis Garcia o1.5 Total Bases (+125)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
Phil Naessens image
Phil Naessens
Betting Analyst

Pirates starter Bailey Falter isn’t overpowering. He’s surrendered three earned runs and a pair of bombs in his last start and three home runs and eight earned runs across his previous 14 frames on the bump. If Adolis Garcia doesn’t reach 2+ total bases against Falter, this Pirates bullpen has served up seven bombs with a .388 SIERRA over the previous 30 days.

Total RBIs
Adolis Garcia logo
Adolis Garcia o0.5 Total RBIs (+165)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
When it comes to his home run ability, Adolis Garcia ranks in the 94th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Adolis Garcia will hold the platoon advantage over Bailey Falter today.
Total RBIs
Corey Seager logo
Corey Seager o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.9 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Corey Seager ranks as the 12th-best hitter in Major League Baseball.. Corey Seager is projected to hit 3rd in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. The Pittsburgh Pirates have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Corey Seager can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the 'pen all game.
Total RBIs
Josh Smith logo
Josh Smith o0.5 Total RBIs (+220)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X).. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Josh Smith will probably have the upper hand against every reliever from start to finish, since the bullpen of the Pittsburgh Pirates only has 1 same-handed RP.. The Pittsburgh Pirates outfield defense projects as the worst among every team in action today.
Total RBIs
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o0.5 Total RBIs (+145)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Joey Bart logo
Joey Bart o0.5 Total RBIs (+170)
Projection 0.6 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).. Joey Bart is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Oneil Cruz logo
Oneil Cruz o0.5 Total RBIs (+120)
Projection 0.8 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) ranks Oneil Cruz as MLB's 7th-best home run batter.. Oneil Cruz is projected to hit 1st in the batting order in this matchup.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Oneil Cruz will have the upper hand in today's matchup.
Total RBIs
Andrew McCutchen logo
Andrew McCutchen o0.5 Total RBIs (+140)
Projection 0.7 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill.. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
Total RBIs
Tommy Pham logo
Tommy Pham o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Leiter.. Tommy Pham will possess the home field advantage in today's matchup, which should bolster all of his stats.. Tommy Pham has been unlucky this year, notching a .231 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .305 — a .074 deviation.
Total RBIs
Ke'Bryan Hayes logo
Ke'Bryan Hayes o0.5 Total RBIs (+200)
Projection 0.5 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 3 out of 5
The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.. Extreme flyball batters like Ke'Bryan Hayes generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Leiter.. Home field advantage generally bolsters batter stats across the board, and Ke'Bryan Hayes will hold that advantage today.. Ke'Bryan Hayes has seen a sizeable gain in his exit velocity on flyballs lately; just compare his 101.7-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal figure of 91.5-mph.
Total Bases
Wyatt Langford logo
Wyatt Langford o1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Projection 2.2 (Over)
Best Odds
Pick made: 4 months ago
EV Model Rating
Star rating: 4 out of 5
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability.. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup.. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense.. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the highest level of the day at 94°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).. The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.
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TEX vs PIT Consensus Picks

More Consensus

Consensus Picks

Our consensus picks show you what percentage of the public is betting on, you'll need to decide whether you want to bet with or against the public.

Total

73% picking Texas vs Pittsburgh to go Under

27%
73%

Total PicksTEX 124, PIT 337

Total
Over
Under

TEX vs PIT Props

Props
Player
Prop
Projection
Best Odds
Projection Rating

Josh Smith Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Smith
J. Smith
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). PNC Park projects as the #5 park in the game for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Josh Smith

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

When it comes to his overall offensive skill, Josh Smith ranks in the 76th percentile according to the leading projections (THE BAT X). PNC Park projects as the #5 park in the game for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Tommy Pham Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Tommy Pham
T. Pham
left outfield LF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Leiter.

Tommy Pham

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme groundball batters like Tommy Pham tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Jack Leiter.

Bryan Reynolds Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Bryan Reynolds
B. Reynolds
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

In today's matchup, Bryan Reynolds is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile). Over the last two weeks, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 4.3%. Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 91.5-mph in the past two weeks. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 46.7% on the season to 39.1% in the last two weeks. Posting a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bryan Reynolds grades out in the 24th percentile.

Bryan Reynolds

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

In today's matchup, Bryan Reynolds is at a disadvantage facing the league's 11th-deepest LF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the opposite field at a 33.8% rate (76th percentile). Over the last two weeks, Bryan Reynolds's Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 11.7% down to 4.3%. Bryan Reynolds's exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off in recent games; his 94.9-mph seasonal EV has fallen to 91.5-mph in the past two weeks. Bryan Reynolds's ability to hit the ball at a BABIP-maximizing launch angle (between -4° and 26°) has declined recently, decreasing from 46.7% on the season to 39.1% in the last two weeks. Posting a .289 wOBA (a leading indicator of offensive ability) this year, Bryan Reynolds grades out in the 24th percentile.

Adolis Garcia Total Hits Props • Texas

Adolis Garcia
A. Garcia
right outfield RF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Adolis Garcia

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Adolis Garcia in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Adolis Garcia is projected to bat 5th in the batting order in today's game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Oneil Cruz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Oneil Cruz
O. Cruz
center outfield CF • Pittsburgh
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the majors — generally bad for homers. Posting a .212 batting average this year, Oneil Cruz grades out in the 11th percentile.

Oneil Cruz

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the majors — generally bad for homers. Posting a .212 batting average this year, Oneil Cruz grades out in the 11th percentile.

Josh Jung Total Hits Props • Texas

Josh Jung
J. Jung
third base 3B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Josh Jung

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Josh Jung in the 89th percentile when it comes to his BABIP skill. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Wyatt Langford Total Hits Props • Texas

Wyatt Langford
W. Langford
left outfield LF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.2
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Wyatt Langford

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.2
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.2

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Wyatt Langford in the 96th percentile as it relates to his overall offensive ability. Wyatt Langford is projected to bat 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Joey Bart Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Joey Bart
J. Bart
catcher C • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Bart is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Joey Bart

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Joey Bart's BABIP ability is projected in the 77th percentile by the leading projection system (THE BAT X). Joey Bart is projected to bat 5th in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Ke'Bryan Hayes Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Ke'Bryan Hayes
K. Hayes
third base 3B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Ke'Bryan Hayes generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Leiter.

Ke'Bryan Hayes

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Extreme flyball batters like Ke'Bryan Hayes generally hit better against extreme groundball pitchers like Jack Leiter.

Jonah Heim Total Hits Props • Texas

Jonah Heim
J. Heim
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side against Bailey Falter in today's game.

Jonah Heim

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. As a switch-hitter who performs better from the 0 side of the plate, Jonah Heim will get to bat from his better side against Bailey Falter in today's game.

Sam Haggerty Total Hits Props • Texas

Sam Haggerty
S. Haggerty
center outfield CF • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Sam Haggerty

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Sam Haggerty in the 81st percentile when assessing his BABIP ability. Sam Haggerty is projected to hit 1st in the batting order today. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Corey Seager Total Hits Props • Texas

Corey Seager
C. Seager
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
1.5
Total Hits
Projection
1.3
Best Odds

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the majors — generally bad for homers. Bailey Falter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Seager in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corey Seager in today's matchup. Corey Seager's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 93-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 88.8-mph over the past 14 days. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 21.5% to 14.6%.

Corey Seager

Prop: 1.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1.3
Prop:
1.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1.3

PNC Park has the 7th-most fair ground in the majors — generally bad for homers. Bailey Falter will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Corey Seager in today's matchup. Playing on the road generally diminishes hitter metrics in all categories due to the lack of home field advantage, which should be the case for Corey Seager in today's matchup. Corey Seager's average exit velocity has declined lately; his 93-mph seasonal mark has fallen off to 88.8-mph over the past 14 days. Corey Seager's ability to hit the ball at a HR-optimizing launch angle (between 23° and 34°) has declined from last season to this one, going from 21.5% to 14.6%.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Isiah Kiner-Falefa
I. Kiner-Falefa
shortstop SS • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Isiah Kiner-Falefa

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

Isiah Kiner-Falefa's batting average talent is projected to be in the 88th percentile according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X). The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats.

Marcus Semien Total Hits Props • Texas

Marcus Semien
M. Semien
second base 2B • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Marcus Semien

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Marcus Semien in the 85th percentile when assessing his overall offensive ability. Marcus Semien is projected to hit 4th in the batting order in this matchup. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Adam Frazier Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Adam Frazier
A. Frazier
second base 2B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

PNC Park projects as the #5 park in the game for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand today.

Adam Frazier

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park projects as the #5 park in the game for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Adam Frazier will have the upper hand today.

Spencer Horwitz Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Spencer Horwitz
S. Horwitz
first base 1B • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.9
Best Odds

PNC Park projects as the #5 park in the game for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand today.

Spencer Horwitz

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.9
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.9

PNC Park projects as the #5 park in the game for lefty base hits, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT). PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Jack Leiter throws from, Spencer Horwitz will have the upper hand today.

Andrew McCutchen Total Hits Props • Pittsburgh

Andrew McCutchen
A. McCutchen
right outfield RF • Pittsburgh
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
1
Best Odds

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Andrew McCutchen

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 1
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
1

The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Andrew McCutchen in the 85th percentile when estimating his overall offensive skill. Andrew McCutchen is projected to bat 2nd in the lineup in today's game. The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts).

Kyle Higashioka Total Hits Props • Texas

Kyle Higashioka
K. Higashioka
catcher C • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.8
Best Odds

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Kyle Higashioka

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.8
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.8

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Hitting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Kyle Higashioka will have the upper hand in today's matchup.

Ezequiel Duran Total Hits Props • Texas

Ezequiel Duran
E. Duran
shortstop SS • Texas
Prop
0.5
Total Hits
Projection
0.7
Best Odds

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have an edge in today's game.

Ezequiel Duran

Prop: 0.5 Total Hits
Projection: 0.7
Prop:
0.5 Total Hits
Projection:
0.7

The #5 field in MLB for boosting base hits to right-handed batters, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT), is PNC Park. PNC Park sits at the 6th-highest altitude among all major league parks. High elevation tends to lead to more offense. The weather report calls for temperatures in this matchup to reach the 2nd-highest level of the day at 93°, which is highly linked to an increase in offense (and a reduction in strikeouts). The wind projects to be blowing out to LF at 9.2-mph in this game, the 8th-most-favorable of the day for bats. Batting from the opposite that Bailey Falter throws from, Ezequiel Duran will have an edge in today's game.

How is Value calculated?

Our value picks are based on the Expected Value (EV) of placing the bet, using our projections and the current odds price:

0-2 Stars: Negative to Even EV
3-4 Stars: Positive EV
5 Stars: Highest EV

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Texas Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 KingScorpio 7-3-0 +24325
2 mojonaciosoy 8-2-0 +20585
3 bigosports12 7-3-0 +19655
4 hennryh 7-3-0 +17895
5 Whiteyr 4-6-0 +17780
6 MexicanBettor 5-5-0 +16866
7 cameleon53 6-4-0 +16495
8 DODBUCKSTEEL 5-5-0 +15755
9 chensucht 6-4-0 +15755
10 dude18555 6-4-0 +15415
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Pittsburgh Team Leaders

Rank Leader L10 Units
1 CJONES1068 4-5-1 +24865
2 ThorsHammer 5-5-0 +20390
3 halfricanknight 4-6-0 +18418
4 MLBFan8848 6-3-1 +18105
5 samua 6-3-1 +16845
6 chefsloan7 5-4-1 +16115
7 braustin1 5-5-0 +15215
8 IronCity1 5-4-1 +15140
9 jnc3lb 7-2-1 +13730
10 uradonkey 5-5-0 +13455
All Pirates Money Leaders
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